PPT Rusconi "Le multiresistenze dell'HIV/AIDS"
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Transcript of PPT Rusconi "Le multiresistenze dell'HIV/AIDS"
Le Multiresistenze dell’HIV/AIDS
Stefano Rusconi
Divisione Clinicizzata di Malattie Infettive DIBIC “Luigi Sacco”
Università degli Studi di Milano
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Milano, Palazzo delle Stelline, 22 marzo 2014
Resistance to an8viral drugs
• The (in)ability of the virus to replicate in the presence of an6retroviral drugs • Caused by changes in relevant part of the virus genome (muta6ons)
2
The emergence of resistance is the inevitable consequence of incomplete suppression of HIV (HBV/HCV) replica8on by the current an8retroviral drugs,
and is a major limita8on of an8viral therapy
Viral escape
• The ability of a virus to escape an6viral pressure depends also upon the
characteris6cs of drugs
• Gene6c barrier: the number of muta6ons required by the virus to develop a fully
resistant virus
– Low gene8c barrier: drugs whose efficacy is lost with a single muta6on
– High gene8c barrier: drugs whose efficacy is lost only aAer the sequen6al
appearance and selec6on of a substan6al number of muta6ons
3
Dinamica virale e resistenza farmacologica
Pressione farmacologica
Tempo
Virus “selvaggio” (sensibile al farmaco) Virus “mutante” (resistente al farmaco)
viremia
Utilizzo (combinato) di antiretrovirali anti HIV-1
Pressione farmaco A
Tempo
Viremia Pressione farmaco B
Pressione farmaco C ...
“Functionally disabled HIV”
Selec8on -‐> Resistance A single muta8on preexis8ng therapy, selected under an8viral
pressure: an easy and rapid phenomenon
Inconsistent an8viral pressure Viral loa
d
Time
Wt Res. variant
For instance NNRTI (K103N) (gene6c barrier=1)
6
Selec8on + Genera8on -‐> Resistance A muta8on preexis8ng therapy, conferring only marginal
resistance, selected under an8viral pressure...
Selec8on
Viral loa
d/ freq
uency
Time
Wt
Single mut.
Double mut.
… a long-‐term phenomenon
For instance, ritonavir-‐boosted PIs 7
Selec8on
Viral loa
d/ freq
uency
Time
Wt
Single mut. Double mut.
Resist.mut.
For instance, ritonavir-‐boosted PIs
Evolu8on toward high resistance and high fitness
Selec8on + Evolu8on A muta8on preexis8ng therapy, conferring marginal resistance, selected under an8viral pressure, followed by the genera8on of
further muta8ons while con8nuing an8viral therapy
8
Selec8on
Viral loa
d/ freq
uency
Time
Wt
Single mut. Double mut.
Resist. mut.
For instance boosted PI
Evolu8on toward high resistance and high fitness
Events that require a long-‐term failing treatment to occur
Triple/quadruple mutant
Selec8on + Genera8on -‐> Resistance A muta8on preexis8ng therapy, conferring marginal resistance, selected under an8viral pressure, followed by the genera8on of
further muta8ons while con8nuing an8viral therapy
9
Drug Resistance in Europe during 1997-‐2012 (EuroSIDA)
A. Schultze et al., EACS 2013
Drug Resistance in Europe during 1997-‐2012 (EuroSIDA)
A. Schultze et al., EACS 2013
Drug Resistance in Europe during 1997-‐2012 (EuroSIDA)
A. Schultze et al., EACS 2013
The RAM prevalence significantly varied according to the viremia levels
P <0.001 (Chi-squared test for trend)
54
72 76 87
78 66
0
20
40
60
80
100
Pre
vale
nce
of s
ampl
es w
ith
at le
ast 1
MR
M (%
)
Viremia ranges (copies/mL)
N samples 3,726 374 270 227 1,060 1,173 622
Fabeni et al., V ICAR 2013
Viremia ranks (copies/mL)
Overview of 11,986 genotypic requests from clinical samples with different viremia ranks over the years.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Overall (N=11,986) Naive (N=4,711) Experienced (N=7,275)
>100,000 10,000-100,000 1,000-10,000 500-1,000 200-500 50-200
In experienced patients 1,115 (15.3%) samples had viremia values ≤500 copies/mL
Fabeni et al., 8° EHDRW 2013, V ICAR 2013
15
Methods
WHO – list 20091
Group 0
Patients with no detected
mutation (used as a reference group)
Patients having at least one mutation
Group 1
show no drug resistance to their
prescribed drug (classified as ‘susceptible’ or as
‘potential low level resistance’)
Group 2
resistant to at least one of their prescribed drugs
(classified as ‘Low-level resistance‘, ‘Intermediate' or as ‘High level resistance‘)
Stanford2 version 6.0.5
• Virologic endpoint: – time to first of two consecutive viral load>500 copies/mL
after six months of therapy • Definition TDR (two steps):
1Bennett PlosOne 2009, 2Liu CID 2006 EuroCoord-CHAIN: L. Wittkop et al., Lancet Infect Dis. Feb 28, 2011
16
Virological failure according to TDR
In adjusted analysis*: Ø Patients with resistance to ≥1 drug:
- significant higher risk of VF compared to patients without mutations - HR: 3.3 (2.5; 4.4) P<10-4
Ø patients receiving a fully active cART and patients with no mutation:
- risk of VF was not significantly different - HR: 1.4 (0.9; 2.3) P=0.17 Time after start of therapy (month)
% VF
6 7 8 10 11 12 9 0
5
10
15
20
25
*All models stratified by cohort ; multivariable models ajusted for: Gender, age, pre-treatment viral load and CD4 count, year of treatment start, previous AIDS diagnosis, subtype, HIV transmission risk group, origin
EuroCoord-CHAIN: L. Wittkop et al., Lancet Infect Dis. Feb 28, 2011
17
Impact of TDR according to treatment strata
0.1
1
10
No TDR TDR andfully-activecART
TDR andresistant
No TDR TDR andfully-activecART
TDR andresistant
No TDR TDR andfully-activecART
TDR andresistant
ALL 2NRTI+1NNRTI 2NRTI+1PI/rtv
HR*
TDR and fully
active
TDR and fully
active
TDR and fully
active
TDR and
resistant
TDR and
resistant
TDR and
resistant
No TDR
No TDR
No TDR
ALL
2NRTIs + 1NNRTI
2NRTIs + PI/rtv
*All models stratified by cohort ; multivariable models ajusted for: Gender, age, pre-treatment viral load and CD4 count, year of treatment start, previous AIDS diagnosis, subtype, HIV transmission risk group, origin
EuroCoord-CHAIN: L. Wittkop et al., Lancet Infect Dis. Feb 28, 2011
Impact of Minority Drug Resistant and X4 variants in Naive Pa6ents Star6ng ART with <100 CD4/mm3
M. Casadellà et al., CROI 2014, abs 602
Primary resistance to integrase inhibitors in Europe (Spread)
M. Casadellà et al., CROI 2014, abs 580
Primary resistance to integrase inhibitors in Europe (Spread)
M. Casadellà et al., CROI 2014, abs 580
Impact of RAL/EVG selected muta6ons on DTG cross-‐resistance Pa6ent viruses containing Q148H/K/R muta8ons displayed reduced DTG suscep8bility with a median fold change in IC50 (FC)=4.6 (range 1.7 to 96.0). Q148K viruses that emerge less frequently than Q148H/R variants exhibited larger reduc6ons in DTG suscep6bility compared to Q148H/R viruses. All pa6ent viruses contained one or more addi6onal IN muta6ons with G140 subs6tu6ons occurring most frequently followed by E138 subs6tu6ons. Based on the analysis of a panel of SDMs, a single muta6on at posi6on 148 did not reduce DTG suscep6bility (DTG FC=0.5 to 0.7). However, the addi8on of a second muta8on at posi8on 140 conferred measurable reduc8ons in DTG suscep8bility (FC=2.2 to 58). The further introduc6on of addi6onal muta6ons at posi6ons 74, 92, 97 and 138 conferred incremental reduc6ons in DTG suscep6bility. Q148K SDMs containing addi8onal muta8ons displayed larger reduc8ons in DTG suscep8bility than corresponding Q148H/R SDMs.
W. Huang et al., CROI 2014, abs 595
Clin Microbiol Infect. 2013 Jan 4. doi: 10.1111/1469-‐0691.12100.
Weeks24201612840
One
min
us s
urvi
val
1,0
0,8
0,6
0,4
0,2
0,0
1.50+1-1.49<1
GSS
Figure 1a. Time to first undetectable HIV-‐RNA by GSS
Clin Microbiol Infect. 2013 Jan 4. doi: 10.1111/1469-‐0691.12100.
Weeks24201612840
One
min
us s
urvi
val
1,0
0,8
0,6
0,4
0,2
0,0
1.50+1-1.49<1
Weighted GSS
Figure 1b. Time to first undetectable HIV-‐RNA by weighted GSS
Clin Microbiol Infect. 2013 Jan 4. doi: 10.1111/1469-‐0691.12100.
0,1
1
10
100
GSS GSS 1-1.5 GSS >1.5 WeightedGSS
WeightedGSS 1-1.5
WeightedGSS >1.5
Log
Scal
e
Factors associated with virological response at six months according to mul8variate analysis (AOR)
Clin Microbiol Infect. 2013 Jan 4. doi: 10.1111/1469-‐0691.12100.
Detec8on of NNRTI resistance muta8ons ager interrup8ng NNRTI-‐based regimens
V. Cambiano et al., CROI 2014, abs 593
•Among the 208 individuals with a resistance test performed aAer stopping suppressive NNRTI-‐based ART (see characteris6cs in table 1), 12% (n=25, 95% CI: 8%-‐17%) had ≥1 NNRTI resistance muta8on detected at the first resistance test following ART treatment interrup8on. •In those with at least 1 NNRTI resistance muta8on detected the median 8me between TI and the resistance test was 12 months (IQR: 3-‐20 months).
Detec8on of NNRTI resistance muta8ons ager interrup8ng NNRTI-‐based regimens
V. Cambiano et al., CROI 2014, abs 593
Detec8on of NNRTI resistance muta8ons ager interrup8ng NNRTI-‐based regimens
V. Cambiano et al., CROI 2014, abs 593
Decay Rate of Archived HIV-1 Drug Resistance Mutations
J. De La Cruz et al., CROI 2014, abs 604
Prevalence of Minority Resistant Variants to ETR, DRV and RAL at Baseline in the ANRS 139 TRIO
Trial
C. Charpen6er et al., CROI 2014, abs 605
Prevalence of Minority Resistant Variants to ETR, DRV and RAL at Baseline in the ANRS 139 TRIO
Trial
C. Charpen6er et al., CROI 2014, abs 605
P. Di Vincenzo, S. Rusconi et al., HIV Medicine (2010) 11, 530–534
Prevalence of muta8ons and determinants of genotypic resistance to etravirine (TMC125) in a large Italian resistance database (ARCA)
Determinants of genotypic resistance [Tibotec (TBT) score 0–2 or >2] to TMC125
< 0.001
0.015
0.005
< 0.001 0.964
0.004
< 0.001 < 0.001 0.002 0.665
< 0.001 0.369 0.207
Category TBT score 0-‐2 TBT score >2 AOR 95%CI p
This mul8variate analysis was conducted with the endpoint of having a TBT score 4 2. Values in the TBT score columns are n (%), with the excep8on of mean (median) for age. AOR for age is for each addi8onal 10 years. *Reference category. AOR, adjusted odds ra8o; CI, confidence interval; ND, not determined; EFV, efavirenz; NVP, nevirapine; PI, protease inhibitor; T20, enfuvir8de.
P. Di Vincenzo, S. Rusconi et al., HIV Medicine (2010) 11, 530–534
TMC125 Control
0
–1
–2
–3
Cha
nge
in lo
g vi
ral l
oad
(mea
n)
Weeks
0
4 8 12 16
59 56 46 36 29 59 n (TMC125) = 57 55 49 33 29 57 n (control) =
Initial 1.3 log decline in viral load was not sustained past 8 weeks, possibly affected by limited activity of the background regimen.
TMC125-C227: Change in viral load (observed)
B. Woodfall et al., HIV8, Glasgow Nov 12-16, 2008. Abstract PL5.6
l A large number of NRTI resistance-associated mutations were noted in this first line failure population
l Many NRTIs were recycled in this study l TMC125 group
l 37% recycled one, 9% two
l Control group l 35% recycled one,
12% two IAS-
USA
NR
TI re
sist
ance
ass
ocia
ted
mut
atio
ns
(%)
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0 TMC125 Control
100 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Group
16.9
10.2
15.3
20.3
28.8
8.8
10.5
22.8
38.6
10.5 6.8 1.7
7.0
Baseline NRTI mutations
B. Woodfall et al., HIV8, Glasgow Nov 12-16, 2008. Abstract PL5.6
1.8
Low-‐Frequency HIV-‐1 Drug Resistance Muta8ons and Risk of NNRTI-‐Based An8retroviral Treatment Failure
A Systema8c Review and Pooled Analysis Systema6c Review and Baseline Characteris6cs 10 studies with 985 pa6ents were iden6fied as mee6ng the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The median CD4 cell count was 229 cells/mm3 and mean plasma HIV-‐1 RNA level was 5.0 log10 copies/mL. All studies evaluated the presence of NNRTI muta6ons K103N, Y181C (N=435) and NRTI muta6ons M184V (N=228) and K65R (N=163).
Li et al JAMA 2011
• Minority drug-‐resistant variants were found in 14% (117/808).
Baseline Parameter Odds Ratio (95% CI) P-Value Χ2 - test
K103N >= 2,000 copies/mL K103N detectable and < 2,000 copies/mL
47.4 (5.2, 429.2) 1.19 (0.15, 9.71)
0.0006 0.8703
BL HIV RNA >100,000 0.98 (0.51, 1.88) 0.9471
BL CD4 >=200 0.60 (0.31, 1,16) 0.1282
Treatment arm 0.75 (0.40, 1.41) 0.3695
• Multivariate logistic regression to predict risk of VF with predictors treated as categorical variables
• 16 of 476 (3.4%) evaluable participants had low-level K103N at baseline by AS-PCR (0.8-15%).
• K103N >2% was also predictive of VF with Odds Ratio = 25.5 and P = 0.0002
Svarovskaia et al XVIII Inter HIV Drug Resist 2009 Goodman et al AIDS 2011
The presence of K103N mutant virus in plasma above 2000 copies/ml prior to therapy in treatment-naive individuals
correlated with increased risk of virologic failure of efavirenz-containing triple-drug regimens
Prevalence of etravirine (ETR)-RAMs at NNRTI failure and predictors of resistance to ETR in a
large Italian resistance database (ARCA)
S. Rusconi et al., Clin Microbiol Infect 2013
Prevalence of etravirine (ETR)-RAMs at NNRTI failure and predictors of resistance to ETR in a
large Italian resistance database (ARCA)
S. Rusconi et al., Clin Microbiol Infect 2013
Adjusted risk of triple class virologic failure after the
start of cART
Lodwick R, for COHERE, 16th CROI; Montreal (CA), 2009
Boosted-PIs are associated with lower risk of HIV resistance at any level of adherence
Lima VD et al, JID 2008
*Plasma viral load log
* *
Differential Presence of Selected Drug Resistance in Patient Populations
70.7 66.1
61.3
37.2
70
10.1
61.5
23.7
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Long-term treated patients (n=380) PHI (Untreated n=59)
Prev
alen
ce (
%)
TAMs NNMs M184V PRAMs
D Turner et al, J AIDS 37, 1627ff, 2004