04 Lami Tolotti - CNRpuma.isti.cnr.it/rmydownload.php?filename=cnr.ise/cnr...Il valore aggiunto...
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Il valore aggiunto della limnologia comparata: un confronto tra laghi delle Terre Alte per lo studio dei cambiamenti climatici
CNR – Istituto per lo Studio degli EcosistemiVerbania
Andrea Lami Monica TolottiIASMA Research and InnovationCentre, Edmund Mach Foundation, S. Michele all’Adige
Convegno “L’acqua nelle Terre Alte: un percorso di ricerca attraverso il sistema alpino” – 04/12/2015, Verbania
4
Climate
Ecosystemsecologicalresponses?
Terrestrial ecosystems
“There is now ample evidence of the ecological impacts of recent climatechange, from polar terrestrial to tropical marine environments. The responsesof both flora and fauna span an array of ecosystems and organizationalhierarchies, from the species to the community levels. Despite continueduncertainty as to community and ecosystem trajectories under global change,
our review exposes a coherent pattern of ecological changeacross systems. Although we are only at an early stage in the projectedtrends of global warming, ecological responses to recent climate change arealready clearly visible.”
Fig. Regional coherence (expressed as correlation coefficients) between pairs of six alpine lakes in the Austrian ‘Salzkammergut’region shown as box‐whisker plots. Box limits are the 25th and 75th percentile; whiskers indicate the 10th and 90th percentile. Inthese boxes, the solid line is the median, the dashed line the mean. Physical = surface temperature, light attenuation and Secchi‐depth; chemical = pH, conductivity and oxygen concentration; nutrients = total phosphorus, total nitrogen and dissolved silica;biological = chlorophyll‐a and phytoplankton biomass. (Modified from Dokulil and Teubner, 2002)
Dokulil et al 2010. The impact of CC on Lakes in Central Europe
5
Climate
Lakes ecologicalresponses?
6
Climate
What are the components of ecosystems vulnerability?
Ecosystemvulnerability
Sensibility(Responsesamplitude)
Capacity of responses(Adaptations)
LowerIncrease
Physical responses
Degree of coherenceamong lakes(Dokulil et al., 2010;
Livingstone et al., 2010)
Local humanpressure
Exposure
Does local human impact increase ecosystems vulnerability to climate change?
i.e.
Local weather, topography
(Gallopin, 2006; Adger,2006; Mumby et al., 2014)
Aletsch Glacier
1979 1991 2002
?
2050
SIL‐Austria meeting 2014
Fig. 1. a) Lakes, rivers, glaciated areas and main sub‐basins area are reported, together with the reference weather station. b) Hypsometric curve and pond distribution.
Elevation ranges from 950 to 3905 m a.s.l. (Mean = 2425 m)
Ortles‐Cevedale mountain group (Stelvio National Park, southern Alps, Italy, ~600 km2)
Fig. 3. Changes that have occurred since 1954 in the pond population:
a) Total surface area of ponds. The vertical bars represent the uncertainty associated with the measurement;
b) Total number of ponds;c) Mean elevation of the entire pond
population.
+0.5% ‐5.9% (1954‐07)
>>> In the recent fifty years, no significant changes in the size and number of ponds;
>>> but, a substantial increasein the mean elevation of the entire pond population, +55 (±3.5) m
EUCOP4, Évora, Portugal, June 18.‐21. 2014
Permaqua sampling sites
Italy
Austria
HKKG
WI
UL
AR
MA SCH
HK = Hochebenkar (Ötztal)KG = Krumgampen (Kaunertal)WI = WindachtalMA = MatschertalSCH = SchnalstalUL = UltentalAR = Ahrntal
Active RG in S‐TyrolRG‐impacted running waters and springsRG‐impacted lakes (with impacted/reference tributaries)Reference high mountain lakes (project Emerge, 2000)
Bozen/Bolzano
Innsbruck
Meran/Merano
EUCOP4, Évora, Portugal, June 18.‐21. 2014 EUCOP4, Évora, Portugal, June 18.‐21. 2014
Permaqua – water chemistry
Impacted sites: lower pH, higher solute (Ca, Mg, SO4, Si) and metal concentrations.
* = partial datan.a. = not available
Reference Impacted Reference Impacted
Nr. 11 20 7 13
EC S cm‐1 71 (12‐65) 185 (68‐395) 47 (14‐130) 188 (12‐609)pH 6.7 (5.9‐7.5 ) 6.2 (5.1‐7.6) 7.3 (6.5‐8.1) 6.1 (4.8 ‐7.7)Na mg L‐1 0.8 (0.3‐1.9) 1.4 (0.8‐2.2) 0.5 (0.3‐0.9) 1.3 (0.2‐2.1)K mg L‐1 0.6 (0.1‐1.9) 1.3 (0.1‐2.0) 0.4 (0.2‐0.6) 0.5 (0.2‐2.1)Ca mg L‐1 9.2 (1.7‐36.5) 22.8 (6.5‐38.0) 6.1 (1.6‐20.2) 16.8 (1.6‐42.5)Mg mg L‐1 2.1 (0.2‐7.6) 7.9 (2.4‐20.0) 1.1 (0.2‐3.7) 12.3 (0.1‐56.0)NH4 g L‐1 7 (2‐19) 4 (1‐8) 7 (2‐19) 10 (3‐30)Cl mg L‐1 0.2 (0.1‐0.8) 0.2 (0.1‐0.3) 0.1 (0.1‐0.2) 0.2 (0.10.6)NO3 g L‐1 148 (0‐653) 168 (1‐392) 189 (10‐394) 171 (30‐315)SO4 mg L‐1 24 (2‐110) 87 (28‐183) 7 (2‐16) 91 (2‐318)Al g L‐1 2 (0‐10) 235 (0‐1125) n.a. 0 (0‐2) *Ni g L‐1 1 (0‐4) 32 (0‐167) n.a. 0 *Mn g L‐1 2 (0‐16) 25 (0‐131) n.a. 0 *Co g L‐1 0 3 (0‐15) n.a. 0 (0‐1) *Zn g L‐1 2 (0‐8) 19 (0‐99) n.a. 0 *Sr g L‐1 2 (0‐9) 13 (0‐58) n.a. 0 *Si g L‐1 1030 (310‐3240) 2054 (540‐3950) 1043 (737‐1694) 1769 (740‐3050)
Running waters Lakes
EUCOP4, Évora, Portugal, June 18.‐21. 2014 EUCOP4, Évora, Portugal, June 18.‐21. 2014
RGs in North Tyrol (A) – epilithic diatoms
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
-1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5
NM
DS
dim
ensi
on 2
NMDS dimension 1
HK-R2
KG-1
HK-R1
KG-R3
KG-S
HK-1
KG-2
KG-3
KG-R1
KG-R2
HK-2
NMDS: Non-Metric Multidimensional Scaling on diatoms with relative abundance ≥0.5%(PCA based on Bray-Curtis dissimilarity matrix, suitable for dispersed biological data)
DIM 2:Psammothidium sacculum : 0.82***Psammothidium bristolicum: 0.80*Frustulia crassinervia : 0.72 *Brachysira brebissonii : 0.60*
DIM 1:Achnanthidium minutissimum: -0.82***Eunotia intermedia: -0-78**Encyonema minutum: -0.76**Diatoma mesodon: -0.75**Hannaea arcus: -0.75**
Eunotia exigua: 0.85**Pinnularia sinistra: 0.82**Psammothidium acidoclinatum: 0.77**Psammothidium helveticum: 0.73**Psammothidium marginulatum: 0.62*
* = p<0.05, ** = p<0.01, *** = p<0.001pH: ‐0.93***Zn: 0.75**Si: 0.70*
Al: 0.59*
Study area
High altitude lakes (above the local tree line) in the Western Alps (Ossola and Sesia valleys, Piedmont, Italy):
4 sites with continous chemical data(1‐4 samples per year) since the late 1970s
about 40 survey lakes with long‐termdiscontinuos data
• Area subject to high deposition of atmospheric pollutants, transported with the air masses from lowland areas (e.g. Plain of River Po)
• Climate change has proved to be more intense in mountain areas, with several effects on water bodies (water quantity and quality)
Among the lakes with the greatest SO4 increase, there are lakes with (active) rock glaciers in the catchment
0
50
100
150
1978 1986 1994 2002 2010
SO4= (µeq-1)
e.g. Boden lakes
Glaciers and permafrost
200
Maps by L. Paro, ARPA Piemonte
15 lakes located in the Ossola Valley were sampled in 2000 (early autumn). The same lake was visted also in 2 0 0 1 t o r e c o v e r t h e minithermistor data logger.
and 14 in Ticino
The lakes were chosen on the basis of the different lithological c o m p o s i t i o n s o f t h e i r catchments and consequently of their varying sensitivity to Sampling material
Survey lakes
Experimental site:
:: water chemistry, chl a, phytoplankton, zooplankton,
bacterial abundance, epilithic diatoms, sediments (diatoms, cladocera, total C, N and S, pigments). : skyline measurements, minithermistor,
sediment traps (2 lakes), thermistor chains (3 lakes),
Considered variables
Other activities
benthos,
data collation for GIS,
samples were collected and sent to the laboratories responsible for the analyses : soil (1 lake); chironomids, POPs, metal, SCPs in the sediment.
AWS and hydrological balance (2 lake).
Principali parametri chimici e fisici rilevati e analizzati per il progetto EMERGE
Lago Data di Profondità Azoto tot Fosforo tot pH Alcalinitàcampionamento (m) (g N l-1) (µg P l-1 ) medio media (eq l-1)
Panelatte 07/09/2000 5 450 5 7,11 113Paione Inf 12/09/2000 14 350 2 6,65 39
Paione Med 12/09/2000 5 440 5 6,53 34Paione Sup 13/09/2000 12 430 6 6,02 3Muino Inf 14/09/2000 2 180 7 6,42 32Matogno 21/09/2000 15 170 2 7,96 756
Variola Med 25/09/2000 4 330 4 6,21 17Variola Sup 25/09/2000 4 260 4 6,31 17Capezzone 26/09/2000 7 130 2 6,83 138Boden Inf 27/09/2000 7 240 2 7,98 523
Boden Sup 27/09/2000 6 370 4 7,81 415Grande 03/10/2000 6 250 1 5,73 0
Sfondato 03/10/2000 3 340 2 5,58 0Pojala 04/10/2000 16 110 6 7,19 251
Campo 05/10/2000 7 250 2 7,35 381
Water chemistry0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
PT0
028
PT0
026
PT0
031
PT0
030
PT0
027
PT0
009
PT0
007
PT0
064
PT0
016
PT0
041
PT0
059
PT0
058
PT0
029
PT0
051
PT0
060
21 3
1. Lakes highly sensitive to acidification pH 5.6-6.2; alk 0-14 µeq l ; Ca 30-35 µeq l
2. Lakes moderately sensitive to acidificatin pH 6.2-6.6; alk 17-35 µeq l ; Ca 45-65 µeq l
3. Lakes with high buffer capacity pH 6.8-8.0; alk 110-760 µeq l ; Ca 120-780 µeq l
-1 -1++
-1
-1
-1
-1
++
++
Samples were taken at about 1 m depth.
The ionic content of the lakes varies between 100 and 1800 µeq l (conductivity in the range 7.5-80 µS cm at 20 °C). SO and NO concentrations are about 35-100 and 1-28 µeq l respectively.
For each sample the following variables were determined: pH, conducibility, alkalinity, major anions (SO , NO , Cl ) and cations (Ca , Mg , Na , K ), total nitrogen, total phosphorus, reactive silica.
A cluster analysis was performed on the chemical data and three groups of lakes were identi fied; the main facto r determining water chemistry of the groups is the dominant li thology of the catchments.
4 3
4
3
=
++ ++ + +
-1
=
-1
-1
-
-
- -
Dictyosphaerium sp. Pseudokephyrion sp. Chrysochromulina parvaFlagell. chryso. sp.1Colonial coccal cyano.Chromulina sp. 1Cfr. Codosiga botrytisFilamentous col. cyano.Achnanthes minutissimaRhodomonas cfr. minutaCryptomonas
sp.
Cyclotella comensis
Chromulina sp.
2
Synedra tenera
Flagell. chryso.
sp.2
Chlamydomonas
sp.
1M.
crassisquama
Oval crypto.
Flagell. chryso.
sp.3
Chryso sp.4
Mallomonas sp.
Dinobryon cylindricum
Chlamydomonas
sp.
2
Chromulina sp.
2
Scenedesmus
cfr.
linearisGymnodinium
sp.M.
komarkovae
0
A
B
Bray & Curtis index
0 10 20 30 40 50
Ind ml (Double square root)-1
PT0028PT0026
PT0031PT0030
PT0027PT0009
PT0007
PT0064
PT0016
PT0041PT0059
PT0058
PT0029
PT0051PT0060
Phytoplankton
Cluster Babundant specie:
, a speci es (s p.2) and an unident if ied chr ysophyte (chryso sp.4).
Dinobryon cylindricum Chromulina
Cluster Aphytoplankton populations abudant and characterised by the dominance of
sp., sp. and parva.Cryptomonas Dictyosphaerium
Chrysochromulina
very low species diversityand abundance.
Cluster 1 & 2form chemical
variables
Lakes as in based on chemistry
Cluster 3
The combined variance analysis of the lake clusters outlined by the multivariate analyses on phytoplankton and zooplankton data, respectively, allowed the identification of four principal lake types (three located on siliceous and one on carbonaceous bedrock), each one characterised by a certain combination of habitat features, which in turn influence trophic state, and phytoplankton and zooplankton species composition and functionality.
CCA ordination of 24 phytoplankton size classes CCA ordination of 14 zooplankton taxa
PT0009PT0059
PT0030PT0027PT0007
PT0041PT0058
PT0031PT0028
PT0029PT0051PT0060PT0026PT0064
PT0016
20 40 20 20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 20 20 20
Plecop
tera
Trich
opter
aChir
onom
idae
Oligoc
haeta
Coleop
tera
Hydrac
arina
Turbe
llaria
Mollus
ca
Percentages
Benthos
PT0009PT0059
PT0030PT0027PT0007
PT0041PT0058
PT0031PT0028
PT0029PT0051PT0060PT0026PT0064
PT0016
20 40 10020 40 60 80 20 20 40 60
Tany
podin
aeOrth
oclad
iinae
Chiron
omini
Tany
tarsin
iPercentages
10020 40 60 80
Enchy
traeid
ae
10020 40 60 80 10020 40 60 80 20 40 60 80 100
Lumbri
culid
ae
Naidida
e
Tubif
icida
e
Percentages
PT0009PT0059
PT0030PT0027PT0007
PT0041PT0058
PT0031PT0028
PT0029PT0051PT0060PT0026PT0064
PT0016
Incr
easi
ng A
ltitu
de
Incr
easi
ng A
lkal
inity
Che cos’e la paleolimnologia?La paleolimnologia è la branca della limnologia che si occupa dello studio e dell’analisi dei sedimenti lacustri attraverso il prelievo di carote di sedimento.
ChironomidiChironomidiChironomidiChironomidi
Temperatura dellTemperatura dell’’acquaacquaFluttuazioni di livelloFluttuazioni di livelloCondizioni troficheCondizioni trofiche
Sostanza organicaSostanza organicaN, P, CaCON, P, CaCO33Silice Silice biogenicabiogenica
Utilizzo dei Utilizzo dei proxyproxy--recordrecord
Apporti clasticiApporti clasticiMetalliMetalli
Condizioni troficheCondizioni trofiche
BiodiversitBiodiversitààCondizioni troficheCondizioni trofiche
CladoceriCladoceriCladoceriCladoceri
Fluttuazioni dei ghiacciaiFluttuazioni dei ghiacciaiErosioneErosione
pHpHFosforoFosforoSalinitSalinitààProduzione primariaProduzione primaria
IntensitIntensitàà radiazione UVradiazione UVCondizioni di ossigenazioneCondizioni di ossigenazione
25 m 113 m 120m148 m59 m
PigmentiPigmentiPigmentiPigmenti
DiatomeeDiatomeeDiatomeeDiatomee
Carote Lago MaggioreCarote Lago Maggiore
Profonditàdell'acqua
Waterdepth
Questi sono alcuni dei parametri, in questo caso biologici e chimici, i cosiddetti proxy-record, tratti da diverse discipline, la cui minore o maggiore presenza nel sedimento indica particolari condizioni ambientali, fisiche, chimiche del lago e la loro evoluzione nel corso del tempo.
Proxy-record
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
36
40
44
48
52
56
60
64
68
72
76
80
84
Dep
th (c
m)
0.3 0.6
Sediment.
rate
1.3 1.6
Wet Density
50 100
H2O
10 20
Organic m
atter
0.8 1.0
430:410
150 300
CD
2 4
TC
0 300 600
b-Caro
ten
350 700
Echinenone
150 300
Zeaxa
nthin
150 300
Cantaxanthin
100 200
Myxoxan
thophil l
500 1000
Oscillaxa
nthin
30 60
Diadinoxanthin
200 400
Fucoxa
nthin
200 400
Diatoxanth
in
200 400
Alloxanthin
200 400
Lutein
15 30
Astaxa
nthin
7.0 8.5
TC-pH
15 30
TC-TP
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
36
40
44
48
52
56
60
64
68
72
76
80
84
Age
(ye
ars
D.C
.)
1935
1981
2011200519981988
19671971
1963
19001861
nmoli g LOI-1% fw % dwg cm-3g cm-2 y-1 g L-1mg gLOI-1
Geochemistry and pigments proxies
Secular ecological evolution of Lake Ledro (Trentino) as outlined by paleolimnological studies
0 2 4Number mg dry weight-1
1990
Years pH Spherical carbonaceous particles
1950
1900
1850
1800
1750
6.0
GlacierAdvance
GlacierAdvance
Aciddepositions
6.5 7.05.510Celsius degree
Air temperature
13
L. Paione Superiore, Val Bognanco
Paneveggio‐Pale di San Martino Natural Park
Latitude 46°17’1’’NLongitude 11°45’56’’EAltitude 1914 m a.s.l.Watershed area 0.36 km2
Surface 0.013 km2
Volume 49x106 m3
Depth (max) 8 mDepth (mean) 3.8 mSurrounding soil podsol or rankersBedrock quartziferous porphyry and sand‐stone
(Trevisan et al. 2014. J. limnol. 73)
• The most significant variables resulted air temperature, hydrologic water level and pH.• Colbricon Inferiore doubled the amount of phytoplankton density and biomass
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80 0 5 10 15
DWAgeAD
Dep
th ( c
m)
20 40
LOI
0 20 40 60
CD
0 1
TC
0 50 100 150
bb_C
ar
0 50 100 150
Lute
0 20
Discos
tella
stellig
eroide
s
0 20 40 60
Stauros
iraps
eudo
costr
uens
1550
1600
1650
1700
1750
1800
1850
1900
1950
2000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
5500
6000
6500
7000
7500
8000
8500
9000
9500
10000
10500
11000
11500
12000
12500
Age
(cal
yr B
P)
0 20 40 60 80
Tabu
laria
fascic
ulata
0 20 40
Stauro
sira c
ostru
ens
0 20 40 60
Stauro
sira m
icros
triata
0 20
Cyclot
ella k
rammeri
0 20 40 60 80
Discos
tella
stellig
eroide
s
0 20 40
Puncti
culat
a rad
iosa
0 20
Stauro
sira b
inodis
0 20
Stauros
ira br
evist
riata
0 20 40
Stauros
ira m
utabil
is
0 20 40
Stauros
ira ps
eudo
costr
uens
0 20 40 60
Pseud
ostau
rosira
ellip
tica
0
Aulaco
seira
alpig
ena
0
Dentic
ula te
nuis
0 20
Sellap
hora
laevis
sima
0 20
Sellap
hora
pupu
la
0
Amphora
lybic
a
Staurosira spp
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
5500
6000
6500
7000
7500
8000
8500
9000
9500
10000
10500
11000
11500
12000
12500
Age
(cm
)
0 20 40 60
Alfa_c
ar
0 20 40 60
bb_C
ar
0 100 200
Fuco
x
0 20 40
Diadi
0 10 20
Diato
0 20 40 60
Allo
0 50 100
Lute
0 20 40
Echi
0 20 40
Myxox
0.0 1.0 2.0
Grazing
Himalaya, Khumbu-Himal region, Nepal, 31 lakes
Central Alps, Italy35 lakesSerra da
Estrela, Portugal, 9
lakes
SvalbardIslands, 3 lakes
CNR ISE remote lake dataset
ALP AND ANT HIM POR SVA0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
N-NO3 (mg N L-1)Northern Patagonia18 lakes
Antarctica, Terra Nova Bay, 29 lakes
Sappiamo molto, ma NON ABBASTANZA!!!Necessità di acquisire informazioni di elevata qualità (metodi confrontabili, meta-dati)Necessità di un approccio interdisciplinare… affrontare le tematiche a livello di EcosistemaNecessità di una integrazione fra Osservazione delle Terra (remote sensing) e in-situ data
1. Estendere il database disponibile
2. Confrontare la risposte della comunità biologiche al cambiamento climatico e l’interazione con altri fattori
3. Valutare la sincronicità della risposta fra ambienti localizzati in aree geografiche differenti
4. Discriminare il « peso » dei fattori locali rispetto a quelli globali nell’influenzare la risposta delle comunità biologiche.
Riassumendo
Grazie per l’attenzione