Iradesso Q2 2010

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    Q2 2010

    RELEASED SEptEmbER 2010 / VOLUmE 21ISSN 1718-9799 pm41045505

    iq.ir.co Ssd by

    I R A D E S S OQ U A R T E R L Y

    CANADIAN OIL & GAS COmpARISON

    inancial doperating reSultSfor 59 Juniors and23 Intermediates

    eaturingact SHeetSfrom Juniors, Intermediatesand Internationals

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    For the love of weather clichsIts human nature to want to talk about the weather. Unfortunately,it hasnt really been a pl easant conversation for Albertans this

    summer. It seems l ike the eastern part of the country might have

    hogged all of the heat and good weather this year.

    The weather discussion even made its way into many intermediate

    and junior oil and gas companies second quarter reports this year.

    We heard numerous times that drilling programs and operations

    were stalled by the wet weather. Because of this, many companies

    reported lower-than-expected production volumes and cash lows

    for the period. In effect, they were blaming their results on the rain.

    Investors can take comfort in knowing that oil and gas plays never getcompletely rained out, they only get delayed. And although weather

    can play a factor in timing, and on a bigger scale, commodity pricing,

    the weather cant totally ruin a crop the way it can in farming.

    Speaking of weather clichs, this is an industry where we like to talk

    about commodity prices by referencing the perfect storm. The low

    natural gas prices we are experiencing now are not the result of a

    perfect storm, more like the result of a steady nagging drizzle. Our

    comparisons are getting stale when it comes to the high price of oil

    relative to cheap cost of the same energy equivalency in natural gas.

    It has been more than a year now of the two main commodities in this

    industry being grossly out-of-step with one another. It seems to have

    become a fact of life, which probably means were due for a change.

    The facts are that the fundamentals for natural gas have been too

    weak for too long. Even the companies that were most focused on

    natural gas have started to give in and shift their focus to oil. The

    median junior oil and gas company has actually seen success in

    dropping its natural gas production weighting from 75 percent

    of production in the third quarter of 2009, to 65 percent of

    production in this most recent quarter. The production mixes being

    reported by the juniors are starting to relect more investments

    being directed to oil. I a nticipate that this drop in gas weighting

    will continue over the next year as such a high number of d rilling

    programs are targeting oil rather than gas.

    For any dismal natural gas-focused company (or investor) out there

    that saw disappointing second quarter results from pricing and

    weather delays, wed like to help pull you through by remembering

    that every cloud has a silver lining, and after the rain comes the

    rainbow. If that doesnt do it for you, then how about red ink at

    night, sailors delight?

    At Bryan Mills Iradesso, we continue to be busy helping

    many energy industry companies communicate with their

    stakeholders. Its not a surprise that the energy industry has

    many communications challenges. These challenges range from

    how to communicate about strategy and technical approaches to

    exploration and development, to the need to communicate about

    environmental and social responsibility from within an industry

    that produces pollution-emitting fuel. To invoke another clich, the

    oil and gas industry needs to show that it doesnt have its head in

    the clouds when it comes to environmental issues. I believe that

    just like the end-users who actually burn the fuels, the majority of

    this industry doesnt have its head in t he clouds.

    Id like to close by emphasizing the purpose of the iQ Report.

    This report is meant to educate readers on the dynamic Canadian

    intermediate and junior oil and gas industry, while drawing

    attention to some of the considerations for making investments in

    the sector. We also shamelessly try to build on our credibility while

    drawing attention to snapshots we have provided for some of our

    ongoing clients. I hope you find this report useful in serving these

    purposes.

    Blue skies ahead,

    Peter Knapp

    President, Bryan Mills Iradesso

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    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 1

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    r e Le ASe SCHe D U Le

    Q3 2010 Q rs:

    Wk Dmb 6, 2010

    communication

    matters

    Information for investors

    iq.bmir.com

    Q2 snapshot

    For the junior companies in this report, with production between 500 and

    10,000 boe/d, the median operating costs were $13.06 per boe, median general

    and administrative costs were $4.24 per boe and median netbacks were $14.92

    per boe. By contrast, economies of scales helped the intermediate companies

    with production between 10,000 and 100,000 boe/d. The intermediates

    reported median operating costs of $10.73 boe/d, me dian general and

    administrative costs of $2.00 per boe, and median cash low netbacks of $20.80

    per boe. Intermediates are able to have lower costs that enable them to make

    more money per unit of production.

    During the second quarter, the median junior had a return of negative seven

    percent for investors. When the subsequent two months are incorporated, the

    median return was negative 11 percent. Investments in intermediates faredslightly better. The median return for intermediate companies was negative

    ive percent for the second quarter, recovering to negative one percent when

    the subsequent two months are also factored in. In all cases, we are including

    dividends and distributions in calculating the total return.

    Many junior oil and gas companies have been talking about shifting their

    focus from natural gas to oil for more than a year now. The economics are

    much more compelling with oil versus natural gas given current commodity

    prices. When calculated based on volumes of six thousand cubic feet of natural

    gas being equivalent to one barrel of oil, the median junior was weighted 65

    percent to natural gas for the second quarter. This is a drop from 71 percent inthe first quarter.

    In reading one second quarter report after another, our researchers noticed

    a common thread weather delays. Many junior and intermediate producers

    made note of the fact that they had to delay their drilling program or postpone

    well servicing due to wet conditions. From what we have heard, these challenges

    persisted into the third quarter of 2010 for much of western Canada.

    We have created and included one-page snapshots for our investor relations

    clients and subscribing companies. These snapshots are designed to give youa quick overview of some noteworthy junior, intermediate and international

    companies. It is amazing how much information can be communicated in one

    page, but we hope it will whet your appetite for to ind out more. In our opinion,

    the best source for this information is company websites, where you should head

    straight to the latest presentation to ind the most up-to-date information.

    Bigger coMpanieS, loWer coStS,HigHer netBacKS

    lacKluStre MarKet

    JuniorS SHiting to oi l

    BlaMe it on tHe rain

    SnapSHot oVerVieWS

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    c o n t e n t S

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M2

    1 Q2 SnapSHot

    4 Junior & interMeDiateWHeeling anD Dealing

    5 Junior coMpariSon cHartS6 Q2 pd b/d

    7 Q2 pd M n gs Wh %

    8 ch pd Q1 2010 Q2 2010 %

    9 ch pd Sh Q1 2010 Q2 2010

    10 es V Vss Q2 pd $ b/d

    11 Q2 csh w nbk $/b

    12 Q2 o d ts ess $/b

    13 Q2 g d admsv csh ess $/b

    14 Q2 D, D d a ess $/b

    15 ad Q2 csh w Ms

    16 Q2 n Db ad csh w

    17 Q2 t r c s d dsbs dvdds %

    18 Js ls D tb

    29 interM eDiate coMpariSon cHartS30 Q2 2010 pd b/d

    30 Q2 pd M s wh %31 ch pd Q1 2010 Q2 2010 %

    31 ch pd sh Q1 2010 Q2 2010

    32 es V vss Q2 d $ b/d

    32 Q2 csh w nbk $/Boe

    33 Q2 o ess d ts ss $/b

    33 Q2 g d admsv csh ess $/b

    34 Q2 D, D d a ess $/b

    34 ad Q2 csh w Ms

    35 Q2 n Db ad csh w

    35 Q2 c s d dsbs

    36 imds ls D tb

    42 canaDi an coMpanieSoperating aBroaD

    47 eM erging conVen tiona lcoMpanieS WatcH liSt

    48 eMerging oil SanDS coMpanieS

    i n t H i S i S S u eSepteMBer 2010

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    Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 0 3

    RETURN UNDELIVERABLE CANADIAN ADDRESSES TO:

    BRYAN MILLS IRADESSO

    400, 805 - 10 AVENUE SW CALGARY AB T2R 0B4

    ABBREVIATIONS

    bbls barrelofoil

    boe barrelofoilequivalent

    boe/d barrelofoilequivalentperday

    mcf thouandcubicfeet

    mmcf millioncubicfeet

    NGLs naturalgaliquid

    ASSUMPTIONS

    Barrelofoilequivalentcalculateduing

    6mcf=1boe

    Netdebthabeencalculatedbyincludingbankdebtdebenture,preferredconvertiblehareand

    workingcapital.

    ForcompaniewithA/Bharetructure,

    BharehavebeenconvertedtoAhare

    uingend-of-periodhareprice.

    Fortrut,exchangeableunithavebeenconverted

    totrutunituingend-of-periodexchangeratio.

    DISCLAIMER

    Theinformationuedtocompilethireportipubliclyavailable.

    BryanMillIradeoprovidethecompariontohinethe

    potlightontheeegmentoftheenergyindutry,andto

    communicatetheachievementandgrowthpotentialoftheoil

    andgacompanieandtrut.TheiQReportdoenotcontitute

    aolicitationorrecommendationforthepurchaeoraleofany

    ecurity;itiprovidedforinformationonlyandinotintended

    toerveainvetmentadvice.BryanMillIradeocannotbe

    heldreponibleforaccuracyandallreaderareencouraged

    toconducttheirownreearch.ThireportiprovidedbyBryan

    MillIradeoaaervicetothereaderwithoutreponibilityfor

    accuracy.BryanMillIradeomutbecreditedwithdeveloping

    theiQReportifanypartofitireproduced.Thecompaniethat

    haveprovidedacorporateproleforthireporthavepaidBryan

    MillIradeoafee.

    37 CrecentPointEnergy

    38 GalleonEnergy

    39 NALOilandGaTrut

    40 PerpetualEnergy

    41 PetroBakkenEnergy

    44 Bengal Energy

    45 PetroliferaPetroleum

    46 Petrominera le

    I N TERMED I ATE

    PROFILEs

    I N TERN ATI ON ALPROFILEs

    20 Arena lEnergy

    21 DelphiEnergy

    22 EqualEnergy

    23 ExallEnergyCorporation

    24 NovuEnergy

    25 secondWavePetroleum

    26 surgeEnergy

    27 TamarackValleyEnergy

    28 TerraEnergy

    JUNIOR

    PROFILEs

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    junior & intermediatewheeling & dealing

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M4

    J

    Many mergers and acquisitions closed during the

    last three quarters, however, the pace seems to have

    subsequently slowed. Fewer new corporate deals were

    d Jy & as, s s d,

    b sd ds s sh.

    DONE DEALS

    The following deals have closed since our previous iQ Report, which means that in the case of an acquisition, the companies

    concerned are no longer included in the comparison charts of this report.

    Arc Energy acquired Storm Exploration

    Baytex acquired Serrano Energy

    Canadian Superior changed name to Sonde Resources

    Cequence acquired Peloton Exploration

    Compass Petroleum acquired Sun Red Capital

    Crescent Point acquired Ryland Oil

    Crescent Point acquired Shelter Bay

    Iteration and Storm Ventures amalgamated to formChinook Energy

    Roadrunner Oil & Gas changed name to Bowood Energy

    in connection with corporate restructuring

    Tamarack Valley acquired Tango Energy via reverse

    takeover

    One Exploration changed name to TriOil Resources in

    connection with corporate restructuring

    Pace Energy formed through the amalgamation of

    Midnight with upstream assets of Provident

    Paramount Energy Trust changed name to Perpetual

    Energy in connection with corporate conversion

    Surge Energy acquired Corinthian and

    Crystal Lake Resources

    Triton Energy changed name to Waldron Energy in

    connection with corporate restructuring

    Whitecap Resources acquired Spitire via reverse takeover

    Whitecap Resources acquired Onyx 2006

    Yoho acquired Canoil

    DEALS ANNOUNCED, bUt NOt CLOSED

    Cequence to acquire Temple Energy (expected close

    September 2010)

    Pengrowth to acquire Monterey Exploration (expected

    close September 2010

    Please note that this summary is not exhaustive and is focused

    on corporate acquisitions relating to conventional juniors and

    intermediate producers meeting the criteria for our comparison charts

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    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 5

    junioroil & gas companies

    c o M p a r i S o n

    INCLUSION CRItERIA

    Primary business must be oil and gas exploration, development and production

    Q2 2010 production must fall between 500 and 9,999 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d)

    Majority of production must be from Western Canada

    Must be publicly traded on the TSX or TSX Venture Exchange

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    7,163

    7,290

    7,655

    7,671

    7,732

    8,035

    9,010

    9,570

    BlackPearl

    Angle

    FreeholdBellatrix

    Anderson

    Delphi

    Vero

    Equal

    3,720

    3,956

    4,053

    4,424

    4,464

    5,717

    5,733

    6,489

    6,531

    Rock

    Orleans

    OpenRange

    Orion

    Emerge

    Legacy

    Bonterra

    TwinButte

    Terra

    2 448

    2,515

    2,532

    2,535

    2,871

    2,892

    3,086

    3,197

    3,221

    Crocotta

    Bellamont

    PaintedPony

    Cinch

    Insignia

    Sonde

    ProspEx

    Cequence

    Seaview

    1,770

    1,927

    1,943

    2,043

    2,060

    2,258

    2,270

    2,373

    ,

    Artek

    Midway

    Arcan

    Waldron

    Arsenal

    Surge

    Yoho

    WestFire

    964

    980

    1,098

    1,417

    1,439

    1,662

    1,665

    1,671

    ,

    Whitecap

    Culane

    Argosy

    SecondWave

    TriOil

    GreatPlains

    Monterey

    Fortress

    737

    771

    774

    794

    839

    853

    925

    936

    951

    Tamarack

    Sure

    NovusPetro-Reef

    Exall

    WranglerWest

    NuLoch

    Renegade

    Ironhorse

    528

    528

    536

    599

    659

    714

    736

    0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000

    Diaz

    Bowood

    Palliser

    Dejour

    IntlSovereign

    DeeThree

    Twoco

    a persistent crowdFor this report, junior oil and gas companies are limited to thosewith production rom 500 barrels o oil equivalent per day (boe/d)to 9,999 boe/d. Other parameters are included on the previouspage. Enterprise valuations or these c ompanies range rom a low

    o about $10 million all the way up to a billion dollars.

    Intermediate and emerging domestic companies are eaturedin sections beginning on page 30 and 48 respectively. A sectionon Canadian-based international companies is ound startingon page 42.

    Over the years, the number o companies meeting our juniorcriteria uctuates, however there are always new names to replacethose that get lost to the steady ow o mergers and acquistions.Overall, this sector has proven it will persist and evolve throughthe changing environment. See our Wheeling and Dealingsection on page 4 or a list o recent transactions.

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M6

    J

    Q2 proDuction (Boe/D)Md = 2,060 b/d

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    88

    91

    91

    92

    98

    98

    99

    100

    Seaview

    OpenRange

    BowoodCinch

    DeeThree

    Tamarack

    Fortress

    Twoco

    82

    84

    84

    85

    86

    86

    87

    88

    IntlSovereign

    Anderson

    Petro-Reef

    Yoho

    Sure

    Cequence

    Orleans

    Argosy

    76

    76

    78

    79

    79

    80

    80

    81

    Insignia

    Terra

    Waldron

    Sonde

    Vero

    Delphi

    Diaz

    ProspEx

    58

    58

    61

    63

    65

    68

    73

    73

    TriOil

    Novus

    Angle

    Bellamont

    WranglerWest

    Artek

    Crocotta

    Bellatrix

    39

    42

    47

    47

    48

    52

    55

    57

    Freehold

    Dejour

    GreatPlains

    Equal

    Midway

    Orion

    Whitecap

    WestFire

    14

    18

    25

    28

    30

    32

    33

    35

    38

    Arcan

    Arsenal

    Culane

    Surge

    NuLoch

    Bonterra

    SecondWave

    Rock

    a n e on y

    1

    3

    4

    9

    12

    13

    13

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

    Emerge

    Renegade

    Legacy

    BlackPearl

    Palliser

    Exall

    WildStream

    shifting from gas to oilFor a substantial amount o time, oil has been the commoditywith more attractive economics, however rom a volumesstandpoint, natural gas has been the commodity with a higherweighting by volume or juniors. Finally this appears to bechanging. The median natural gas weighting has dropped rom75% in Q3 2009, to 71% in Q1 2010, to 65% this most recentquarter. This is probably a good thing or the short-term fnancialhealth o this sector.

    As is standard, we convert natural gas into oil equivalence byusing a ratio o six thousand cubic eet (mc) o natural gasto one barrel o oil equivalent (boe). This ratio comes rom anenergy equivalence at the burner tip. To put this calculation intoperspective, i we were to base the equivalency ratio on spotmarket pricing, it would take around 20 mc to equate to eachbarrel o oil.

    orMula

    avg. natural gas production per day (boe/d)

    avg. total production

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 7

    Q2 proDuction Mix natural gaS WeigHting (%)Md = 65%

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    40.3

    41.1

    45.3

    52.7

    54.1

    61.0

    89.1

    Palliser

    Midway

    Bellamont

    WildStream

    Waldron

    Renegade

    Dejour

    12.6

    14.3

    15.0

    17.5

    27.7

    30.8

    32.4

    33.5

    OpenRange

    Bonterra

    Argosy

    SecondWave

    GreatPlains

    Cequence

    Arcan

    r on

    7.2

    7.7

    7.9

    8.7

    9.1

    9.110.1

    10.4

    .

    Vero

    Emerge

    Tamarack

    Orleans

    PaintedPony

    NovusCinch

    Anderson

    3.2

    4.4

    5.0

    5.1

    5.6

    5.7

    5.8

    7.2

    Yoho

    Freehold

    Insignia

    Delphi

    Rock

    TwinButte

    Bellatrix

    BlackPearl

    (3.4)

    (2.6)

    (0.8)

    (0.5)

    0.6

    0.7

    3.1

    3.1

    Fortress

    WestFire

    Diaz

    Seaview

    Ironhorse

    Equal

    Exall

    ProspEx

    (9.1)

    (8.9)

    (8.1)

    (7.3)

    (7.2)

    (7.1)

    (6.0)

    (4.3)

    Terra

    Angle

    Legacy

    Culane

    Twoco

    Monterey

    Crocotta

    Arsenal

    (19.4)

    (19.3)

    (18.5)

    (15.9)

    (14.5)

    (13.7)

    .

    (40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0

    Petro-Reef

    DeeThree

    Sure

    Surge

    Artek

    IntlSovereign

    boosting production ratesIncreasing production rates on a steady quarter-over-quarter basisis not easy to do. This is because production rates or most wellsin Western Canada decline at a steady rate. These declines needto be replaced beore any additions can be made. At the sametime, certain natural gas production is uneconomic in the currentpricing environment, meaning that it makes more business senseto shut-in the production or the time being rather than sell the

    production or less than it costs to produce.

    bowood, Sonde, triOil and Whieca are not included in thischart as these companies were not operating in their currentcorporate orm during the previous quarter.

    orMula

    current period avg. production previous period avg. production

    previous period avg. production

    Note: Gas production converted to boe at 6 mc: 1 boe

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M8

    J

    cHange in proDuction Q1 2010 to Q2 2010 (%)Md = 5.6%

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    Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 0 9

    19.8

    23.0

    26.9

    33.5

    37.6

    40.8

    87.2

    Bellamont

    Cequence

    GreatPlains

    Orion

    WildStream

    Midway

    Dejour

    6.6

    7.7

    8.7

    9.0

    9.5

    12.6

    13.7

    14.0

    Vero

    Emerge

    Orleans

    PaintedPony

    SecondWave

    OpenRange

    Renegade

    Bonterra

    1.5

    1.7

    3.1

    3.7

    4.8

    4.9

    5.0

    5.5

    Delphi

    Argosy

    ProspEx

    Freehold

    BlackPearlAnderson

    Insignia

    Rock

    (2.1)

    (1.0)

    (0.5)

    (0.4)

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    1.0

    NuLoch

    Twoco

    Seaview

    Equal

    Cinch

    TwinButte

    Waldron

    e a r x

    (9.7)

    (8.3)

    (7.4)

    (7.3)

    (6.7)

    (6.0)

    (4.9)

    .

    Diaz

    Novus

    Exall

    Culane

    WestFire

    Crocotta

    Tamarack

    (14.7)

    (14.7)

    (13.7)

    (12.0)

    (11.8)

    (11.7)

    (10.9)

    .

    Arcan

    Artek

    IntlSovereign

    Legacy

    Monterey

    WranglerWest

    Ironhorse

    (43.4)

    (27.8)

    (19.5)

    (18.5)

    (18.4)

    (16.0)

    .

    (60.0) (40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0

    Surge

    DeeThree

    Petro-Reef

    Sure

    Terra

    Yoho

    per share growth is what countsIt is challenging or oil and gas companies to steadily increase

    overall production rates. By extension, it is even more

    daunting when production growth is required on a per share

    basis. Amazingly, around hal o juniors were able to increase

    production rom the rst quarter to the second quarter o 2010

    on a per share basis.

    It costs money to increase production, whether it be via drilling or

    acquisitions. Thereore, junior companies need to deploy their cash

    fow careully in order to grow, and they typically need to augment

    this with strong access to capital rom equity or debt nancings in

    order to be able to keep growing.

    FORmULA

    current production per share previous production per share

    previous production per share

    Note: Production per share = average production rate or the period

    divided by basic weighted average shares outstanding during

    the period.

    For the trusts included in this comparison, subsititute shares

    or units.

    Gas production converted to boe at 6 mc: 1 boe.

    ChAngE in PROdUCTiOn PER shARE Q1 2010 TO Q2 2010 (%)mea = 0.1%

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    140,210

    142,602

    144,078153,234

    155,091

    164,426

    197,463

    252,069

    WildStream

    NuLoch

    BonterraSecondWave

    Renegade

    Legacy

    Arcan

    Monterey

    72 962

    73,889

    97,247

    99,025

    100,347

    111,858

    120,899

    124,125

    136,449

    WestFire

    Exall

    Bowood

    Whitecap

    BlackPearl

    Midway

    Novus

    PaintedPony

    Freehold

    61,995

    62,238

    62,896

    66,245

    69,769

    70,556

    72,042

    72,834

    ,

    Arsenal

    Dejour

    Crocotta

    Emerge

    Angle

    DeeThree

    Sure

    Orion

    44,785

    45,385

    47,392

    48,071

    51,106

    53,786

    53,872

    57,095

    ,

    Rock

    Artek

    Cinch

    Culane

    Bellatrix

    Surge

    Orleans

    Sonde

    37,229

    38,546

    39,121

    39,307

    40,250

    41,554

    41,895

    43,623

    43,946

    Waldron

    Ironhorse

    Yoho

    Bellamont

    Twoco

    Delphi

    Vero

    Palliser

    az

    31,134

    32,057

    33,251

    33,957

    33,966

    34,142

    34,365

    35,676

    36,247

    Argosy

    Anderson

    ProspEx

    Petro-Reef

    OpenRange

    WranglerWest

    Cequence

    GreatPlains

    TwinButte

    17,145

    18,703

    19,416

    26,424

    29,027

    29,083

    29,145

    0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000

    IntlSovereign

    Fortress

    Tamarack

    Insignia

    Seaview

    Equal

    Terra

    production valuationThis chart shows each companys enterprise value (marketcapitalization plus net debt) in relation to its average Q2production levels. The chart does not take into account the valueo land and seismic data or the quality and lie expectancy o oiland gas reserves.

    Companies that are high on this chart may be there becauseinvestors deem them to have strong growth prospects,quality long-lie reserves, high feld netbacks, high dividend ordistribution yields, or exceptional management teams. As anindication that these numbers make sense, the company that hasthe highest enterprise value versus production or Q2, monerey,is in the midst o being acquired by an intermediate producer,pengrowh. Companies that are low on this chart may be goodvalue investments with excellent upside potential or investors

    who do their homework.

    orMula

    market capitalization + net debt

    avg. production in boe

    Notes: Market capitalization = August 31 share price x Q2weighted average basic shares outstanding

    Net debt = bank debt + debentures - working capital

    For A/B share structure companies, the separate marketprice o B shares is actored into the market capitalization

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M10

    J

    enterpriSe Value VerSuS Q2 proDuction ($ per Boe/D)Md = $51,106 b/d

  • 8/8/2019 Iradesso Q2 2010

    13/52

    25.50

    27.35

    28.3733.19

    33.61

    35.31

    36.42

    41.52

    Arcan

    Exall

    RenegadePaintedPony

    Bonterra

    WildStream

    Freehold

    Legacy

    19.60

    20.83

    21.05

    21.48

    21.99

    22.09

    22.10

    22.28

    23.07

    O enRan e

    NuLoch

    WestFire

    BlackPearl

    Arsenal

    Whitecap

    IntlSovereign

    Midway

    Surge

    16.01

    16.93

    17.62

    17.76

    18.56

    19.36

    19.48

    19.49

    Orleans

    Vero

    Bellamont

    Delphi

    Rock

    Angle

    SecondWave

    Orion

    13.25

    13.32

    13.99

    14.62

    14.92

    15.01

    15.08

    15.70

    .

    Sure

    Ironhorse

    TwinButte

    Artek

    Seaview

    Yoho

    GreatPlains

    Culane

    10.38

    11.43

    11.66

    11.96

    12.27

    12.47

    12.80

    12.86

    13.04

    Argosy

    WranglerWest

    Crocotta

    Terra

    TriOil

    Cinch

    Anderson

    Petro-Reef

    qua

    6.97

    7.61

    7.96

    9.62

    9.63

    9.74

    9.77

    9.90

    10.27

    Diaz

    Palliser

    BellatrixInsignia

    ProspEx

    Waldron

    Cequence

    Monterey

    Dejour

    (9.74)

    (1.37)

    1.02

    1.96

    5.09

    5.53

    6.56

    (20.00) (10.00) 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00

    Novus

    Bowood

    Twoco

    Sonde

    Tamarack

    DeeThree

    Fortress

    show me the marginsCompanies near the top o this chart are seeing the mosteconomic beneft rom existing production. Meanwhile, thosenear the bottom have costs that are reducing their margins.

    The median cash ow netback this quarter o $14.92 per boe islower than the median o $18.87 per boe or Q1 o 2010. This is areection o lower natural gas prices realized during Q2.

    Cash ow is the result o adding back non-cash expenses suchas depreciation and uture taxes to net earnings. Cash ow takesinto account the hard costs o operating as well as general andadministrative costs. It is a measurement that is not defned bygenerally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) in Canada.

    orMula

    cash ow rom operations

    total production in the period

    Note: Total production in the period = average daily productionx 91 days in period

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 11

    Q2 caSH loW netBacK ($/Boe)Md = $14.92/b

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    17.57

    17.61

    18.71

    19.23

    19.43

    20.64

    21.74

    27.34

    Diaz

    Surge

    GreatPlainsSecondWave

    Culane

    Novus

    Arsenal

    Emerge

    15.29

    15.76

    15.77

    15.79

    16.23

    16.31

    16.73

    16.91

    17.13

    Insi nia

    TwinButte

    WranglerWest

    Bowood

    TriOil

    Fortress

    WestFire

    Rock

    Palliser

    14.26

    14.28

    14.50

    14.55

    15.00

    15.11

    15.12

    15.28

    Bellatrix

    Bellamont

    IntlSovereign

    Cequence

    Artek

    WildStream

    Renegade

    BlackPearl

    11.98

    12.11

    12.12

    12.40

    13.06

    13.13

    13.38

    14.13

    .

    PaintedPony

    Dejour

    Arcan

    Legacy

    Orion

    Waldron

    Bonterra

    Monterey

    10.23

    10.39

    10.44

    10.79

    11.27

    11.29

    11.38

    11.42

    11.48

    Sonde

    Petro-Reef

    DeeThree

    Crocotta

    Equal

    NuLoch

    Delphi

    Whitecap

    ure

    7.40

    7.59

    8.93

    9.39

    9.45

    9.56

    9.73

    9.89

    10.01

    Orleans

    Argosy

    Twoco

    ProspEx

    Seaview

    Terra

    Tamarack

    Anderson

    Vero

    3.35

    4.16

    4.30

    4.72

    5.70

    6.21

    7.15

    0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00

    Ironhorse

    Cinch

    Freehold

    Yoho

    OpenRange

    Angle

    Exall

    trying to get more for lessCompanies that do a good job o controlling operating andtransportation costs earn more money rom their production.The ability to be an efcient operator relates to the productivityo wells, the proximity o producing areas, economies o scale,

    control over acilities and a companys production methods.Some companies with high operating costs this quarter may beincurring expenses in an operating area that will not increasewhen production increases or the area, showing the potential orimproving economies o scale.

    orMula

    operating expenses including transportation costs

    total production in the period

    Note: Total production in the period = average daily productionx 91 days in period

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M12

    J

    Q2 operating anD tranSportation ex penSeS ( $/Boe)Md = $13.06/b

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    9.66

    10.24

    11.3413.59

    13.61

    14.11

    16.79

    18.73

    Bowood

    NuLoch

    ArgosyRenegade

    Sonde

    Dejour

    Palliser

    Novus

    6.18

    6.24

    6.27

    6.72

    6.78

    6.80

    7.83

    8.72

    8.97

    Midwa

    Fortress

    Exall

    Ironhorse

    Surge

    SecondWave

    TriOil

    Arcan

    Orion

    5.03

    5.10

    5.34

    5.39

    5.41

    5.53

    5.54

    5.80

    .

    Twoco

    Equal

    GreatPlains

    DeeThree

    Culane

    Arsenal

    Tamarack

    Petro-Reef

    3.99

    4.09

    4.13

    4.20

    4.24

    4.26

    4.34

    4.34

    .

    Whitecap

    Cequence

    Terra

    Artek

    Emerge

    Sure

    Waldron

    Cinch

    3.27

    3.31

    3.38

    3.51

    3.52

    3.54

    3.80

    3.89

    3.95

    Insignia

    WestFire

    Crocotta

    WranglerWest

    Freehold

    Bellamont

    Rock

    Bellatrix

    az

    2.42

    2.44

    2.52

    2.54

    2.63

    2.67

    2.69

    2.77

    3.22

    Delphi

    ProspEx

    OrleansIntlSovereign

    PaintedPony

    Legacy

    TwinButte

    Anderson

    Angle

    1.98

    2.03

    2.16

    2.30

    2.35

    2.38

    2.42

    0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00

    Vero

    OpenRange

    Yoho

    BlackPearl

    Bonterra

    Seaview

    WildStream

    watching overheadGeneral and administrative expenses (G&A) pay or theengineering, geology, accounting, business development andother ofce-related expenses o oil and gas companies. G&Ashould be lower per boe or larger companies because many othese costs are fxed and do not increase with the amount oproduction. A lower amount o G&A per boe is good as long as itisnt at the cost o growth or o meeting the regulatory and legalrequirements o being a public company.

    A number o the companies at the high end o this chart hadhigh G&A expenses due to corporate activities over the period.In certain cases, anomolous transaction costs were identifed infnancial statements, allowing us to remove those amounts ortaarack Valley and Surge, who completed recapitalizationsduring the quarter. Savvy investors should take the time tounderstand what is happening that causes expenses to be higherthan peers and whether or not it will translate into growth thatwill reward shareholders.

    Non-cash compensation expenses, mostly stock options andother share or unit-based incentives, oten make up a signifcantportion o compensation packages at junior oil and gascompanies. These are not included in this chart.

    orMula

    general & administrative expenses

    total production in the period

    Note: Total production in the period = average daily productionx 91 days in period

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 13

    Q2 general anD aDMiniStratiVe caSH expenSeS ($/Boe)Md = $4.24/b

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    24.51

    24.76

    24.85

    24.88

    25.15

    25.23

    25.72

    25.93

    26.15

    26.22

    27.37

    27.44

    27.58

    27.69

    27.89

    27.90

    28.01

    29.12

    29.13

    29.27

    29.29

    29.35

    29.59

    30.30

    30.93

    32.35

    32.60

    34.34

    36.26

    36.81

    37.97

    43.23

    44.99

    56.48

    Arcan

    Freehold

    Bellatrix

    OpenRange

    Midway

    WestFire

    WranglerWest

    Orleans

    Insignia

    Tamarack

    Bellamont

    Culane

    Whitecap

    PaintedPony

    Crocotta

    Sonde

    SecondWave

    Anderson

    NuLoch

    WildStream

    TriOil

    IntlSovereign

    Palliser

    Emerge

    Diaz

    Bowood

    Twoco

    GreatPlains

    BlackPearlArsenal

    Petro-Reef

    Renegade

    Novus

    Legacy

    10.00

    10.86

    13.33

    14.66

    14.97

    15.45

    15.65

    16.21

    16.28

    17.68

    18.30

    18.60

    19.01

    19.11

    19.49

    19.72

    20.18

    20.50

    20.64

    21.00

    21.68

    22.09

    22.73

    24.00

    24.35

    0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00

    Bonterra

    Exall

    Dejour

    Terra

    Monterey

    Ironhorse

    DeeThree

    Orion

    TwinButte

    Vero

    ProspEx

    Yoho

    Angle

    Waldron

    Surge

    Fortress

    Seaview

    Rock

    Delphi

    Artek

    Cinch

    Cequence

    Equal

    Argosy

    ure

    accounting for the costof inding reservesDepletion, depreciation and accretion expenses (DD&A) maybe considered an approximation o fnding, development and

    acquisition costs or oil and gas reserves. DD&A expenses arean ongoing writedown o assets as they are used up. Increasingamounts may mean reserves were more expensive to acquire inthe frst place and as a result are losing value on the companysbooks at a aster pace.

    orMula

    depletion, depreciation & accretion expenses

    total production in the period

    Note: Total production in the period = average daily productionx 91 days in period

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M14

    J

    Q2 Depletion, Depreciation anD accretion expenSeS ($/Boe)Md = $25.15/b

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    9.2

    9.5

    9.5

    9.7

    9.9

    10.3

    10.3

    10.3

    10.4

    10.5

    10.5

    10.9

    10.9

    11.5

    11.8

    12.3

    12.8

    13.4

    13.8

    14.8

    14.9

    15.0

    15.7

    16.7

    17.3

    17.6

    18.8

    21.3

    21.6

    35.1

    70.0

    80.0

    108.5

    OrleansProspEx

    WestFire

    Cequence

    Angle

    Orion

    PaintedPony

    Freehold

    Cinch

    Tamarack

    Waldron

    Legacy

    WildStream

    Emerge

    Bonterra

    Whitecap

    BlackPearl

    TriOil

    Midway

    Crocotta

    Sure

    Renegade

    Palliser

    Dejour

    Diaz

    Bellatrix

    NuLoch

    Arcan

    SecondWave

    DeeThreeMonterey

    Sonde

    Twoco

    Bowood

    Novus

    2.1

    4.8

    5.3

    6.1

    6.1

    6.4

    6.4

    6.5

    6.6

    6.7

    6.8

    6.9

    7.1

    7.2

    7.3

    7.4

    7.5

    7.7

    7.8

    7.9

    8.2

    8.2

    8.4

    8.5

    0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0

    IntlSovereign

    OpenRange

    Seaview

    Equal

    Bellamont

    Surge

    Delphi

    GreatPlains

    Rock

    Terra

    Vero

    Anderson

    TwinButte

    Yoho

    Petro-Reef

    Exall

    Insignia

    Arsenal

    Fortress

    Ironhorse

    WranglerWest

    Argosy

    Culane

    Artek

    These two companies had Q2 cash low that was negative or negligiblein comparison to enterprise values and market capitalizations.

    a wide range of multiplesWhile the median cash ow multiples dont seem to change allthat much rom one quarter to another, it is normal to see awide range o multiples depending on the markets view o theprospects or each company.

    This calculation o annualized cash ow multiples uses theclosing market price on August 31, 2010 combined with Q2 2010weighted average shares outstanding, net debt and cash ow. Thevalues shown on the chart relate to the enterprise value multipleso annualized cash ow denoted by the dark bars. The lighter barsdo not take net debt into account as they are simply a reectiono market capitalization as a multiple o annualized cash ow. Thedierence between the lengths o the two bars shows how muchdebt a company has.

    orMulaenterprise value

    (cash ow or period x 4)

    Note: Enterprise value = (weighted average basic shares xAugust 31, 2010 share price) + net debt

    For A/B share structure companies, the separate market priceo B shares is also actored into the market capitalization

    Market Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow

    Enterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 15

    annualizeD Q2 caSH loW MultipleSes v ad csh w Md = 9.7 Mk c ad csh w Md = 7.7

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    1.5

    1.8

    1.8

    1.9

    2.0

    2.0

    2.0

    2.0

    2.1

    2.1

    2.1

    2.2

    2.2

    2.2

    2.4

    2.5

    2.6

    2.6

    2.7

    3.2

    3.2

    3.3

    3.6

    3.7

    3.8

    4.0

    4.9

    5.3

    5.4

    5.7

    6.1

    9.6

    Delphi

    WranglerWest

    Sure

    Orleans

    Anderson

    Vero

    Midway

    OpenRange

    Terra

    Dejour

    Renegade

    Angle

    ProspEx

    TwinButte

    SecondWave

    GreatPlains

    Cequence

    Insignia

    Waldron

    Arcan

    Ironhorse

    Culane

    Petro-Reef

    Bellatrix

    Equal

    Whitecap

    Monterey

    Crocotta

    ArtekArgosy

    Fortress

    Diaz

    Bowood

    Twoco

    (9.6)

    (3.2)

    (2.2)

    (1.8)

    (1.8)

    (1.2)

    0.1

    0.3

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.6

    0.8

    0.8

    1.1

    1.2

    1.2

    1.2

    1.3

    1.3

    1.3

    1.3

    1.4

    (15.0) (10.0) (5.0) 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

    Novus

    Sonde

    Tamarack

    DeeThree

    Palliser

    BlackPearl

    Surge

    WestFire

    NuLoch

    PaintedPony

    WildStream

    Orion

    IntlSovereign

    Seaview

    Freehold

    Cinch

    Exall

    Bonterra

    Arsenal

    Emerge

    TriOil

    Bellamont

    Legacy

    Rock

    o o

    Novus has a positive net cash position that isnt shown on this chart because o negativecash low in comparison. The other six companies with negative debt to cash low ratios are

    also in good shape with positive cash positions.

    debt managementThis measurement compares, in years, how long it wouldtheoretically take to become debt ree i cash low remainedsteady year ater year and it was 100 percent dedicated to payingdown the debt shown at the end o Q2. In times where equitymarkets arent providing capital at a reasonable value, it can beadvantageous or companies to be able to utilize debt to fnancetheir growth. Assuming they are creditworthy, those companieswith less debt may be in the ortunate position o having moreoptions open to take advantage o potential asset-buyingopportunities. Companies with higher debt may not have as manydesirable options.

    Companies with negative values on the chart have a positive workingcapital position that they will be able to use to und growth.

    orMula

    net debt

    cash ow or period x 4

    Note: Net debt = bank debt + debentures - working capital

    Convertible debentures make up a portion o the debtload or Bellatrix, Diaz, Equal, Second Wave, Sonde, Twocoand Whitecap

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M16

    J

    Q2 net DeBt to annualizeD caSH loWMd = 2.0

    These two companies had Q2 cash low that was negativeor negligible in comparison to net debt.

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    11.8

    12.1

    13.8

    28.1

    33.3

    43.7

    170.8

    Sure

    Orleans

    BlackPearl

    Seaview

    DeeThree

    Exall

    Monterey

    2.4

    4.2

    5.2

    5.8

    6.7

    7.0

    8.2

    10.2

    Freehold

    Tamarack

    Vero

    Rock

    SecondWave

    Crocotta

    Arcan

    Bonterra

    (6.9)

    (6.5)

    (5.5)

    (4.8)

    (4.1)

    (3.8)(1.4)

    1.5

    .

    PaintedPon

    Delphi

    WildStream

    Arsenal

    Angle

    TwinButteWranglerWest

    Cinch

    o o

    (12.8)

    (12.1)

    (12.0)

    (11.6)

    (11.1)

    (10.1)

    (9.6)

    (7.4)

    NuLoch

    IntlSovereign

    Waldron

    Palliser

    Bellatrix

    Midway

    Anderson

    ProspEx

    (21.4)

    (20.1)

    (20.0)

    (18.9)

    (18.6)

    (18.5)

    (18.0)

    (16.2)

    Dejour

    Emerge

    Diaz

    Insignia

    Legacy

    Terra

    Orion

    Cequence

    (31.4)

    (30.7)

    (30.3)(29.3)

    (26.8)

    (25.0)

    (24.6)

    21.8

    Argosy

    Renegade

    NovusSurge

    Twoco

    Petro-Reef

    Bellamont

    OpenRange

    (53.1)

    (52.3)

    (49.0)

    (46.3)

    (40.5)

    (34.3)

    .

    (100.0) (50.0) 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0

    Artek

    Culane

    Fortress

    WestFire

    Equal

    GreatPlains

    lacklustre marketFor most juniors, total return (change in share or unit priceplus distributions and dividends) declined during the secondquarter o 2010, recovering slightly in the subsequent twomonths. Overall, median gains o around 14% or juniors inthe irst quarter o 2010 have not been maintained throughthe year.

    bowood, Sonde, triOil and Whieca are not included inthis chart as they didnt exist in t he same corporate orm atthe beginning o the period.

    orMulacapital gain + total distributions in that period per share or unit

    market price at end o the previous period

    Note: Capital gain in period = market price at end o period market price at end o previous period

    Share price change plus distributions rom April throughAugust 2010

    Share price change plus distributions rom April throughJune 2010

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 17

    Q2 total return - capital gainS anD DiStriButionS or DiViDenDS (%)a hh J Md: 7.0% a hh as Md: 11.1%

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    Shortened

    company

    name

    Chief

    executive

    Stock

    symbol

    & exchange

    (T=TSX,

    V=Venture)

    Share

    price

    August

    31/10

    ($)

    Q2/10

    average

    daily

    production

    (boe/d)

    Q2/10

    weighted shares

    outstanding

    (basic) including

    exchangeable &

    B shares converted

    (000)

    June 30/10

    net debt before

    debentures

    ($000)

    June 30/10

    debentures

    outstanding

    ($000)

    Q2/10

    net income

    ($000)

    Q2/10

    cash flow

    ($000)

    Anderson Brian Dau AXL-T 1.03 7,732 172,400 70,284 0 (8,891) 9,004

    Angle Gregg Fischbuch NGL-T 6.80 7,290 58,404 111,438 0 (955) 12,845

    Arcan Ed Gilmet ARN-V 4.35 1,943 75,029 57,264 0 (992) 4,509Argosy Peter Salamon GSY-T 0.70 1,098 14,995 23,683 0 795 1,037

    Arsenal Tony van Winkoop AEI-T 0.80 2,060 134,766 19,886 0 (1,853) 4,121Artek Darryl Metcalfe RTK-V 1.15 1,770 25,488 51,034 0 (1,294) 2,356

    Bellamont Steve Moran BMX.A-V 0.52 2,515 150,908 20,814 0 (1,887) 4,032

    Bellatrix Raymond Smith BXE-T 3.36 7,671 92,481 34,390 46,906 (10,812) 5,560

    BlackPearl John Festival PXX-T 3.05 7,163 268,047 (98,724) )672,01(0 14,003

    Bonterra George Fink BNE-T 39.70 5,733 18,730 82,454 0 10,887 17,533Bowood Robert Mercier BWD-V 0.26 528 186,233 2,942 0 (1,616) (66)Cequence Howard Crone CQE-T 1.92 3,197 42,048 29,126 0 (3,751) 2,842

    Cinch Sid Dykstra CNH-T 1.36 2,535 81,775 8,942 0 (1,865) 2,878

    Crocotta Robert Zakresky CTA-T 1.52 2,448 65,126 54,977 0 (2,935) 2,597

    Culane Donald Staus CLN-V 1.16 980 24,520 18,643 0 (819) 1,399

    DeeThree Martin Cheyne DTX-V 2.80 714 19,098 (3,133) 0 (550) 359Dejour Robert Hodgkinson DEJ-T 0.33 599 98,698 4,710 0 (344) 560Delphi David Reid DEE-T 2.43 8,035 104,808 79,217 0 (2,742) 12,988

    Diaz Robert Lamond DZR-T 0.12 528 85,994 6,357 6,527 (1,112) 335

    Emerge Thomas Greschner EME-T 3.18 4,464 82,981 31,803 0 (6,357) 6,412

    Equal Don Klapko EQU-T 4.91 9,570 21,935 54,650 115,973 (4,066) 11,357

    Exall Frank Rebeyka EE-T 1.02 839 52,154 8,797 0 795 2,088

    Fortress Cameron Bailey FEI-T 0.13 1,671 55,295 24,332 0 (39,985) 997Freehold William Ingram FRU.UN-T 16.65 7,655 58,112 76,901 0 9,214 25,367

    GreatPlains Stephen Gibson GPX-T 0.34 1,662 109,770 22,520 0 (2,344) 2,280

    Insignia Jeffrey Newcommon ISN-T 1.63 2,871 30,660 25,882 0 (4,588) 2,514

    IntlSovereign Sharad Mistry ISR-T 0.51 659 16,096 3,092 0 (80) 1,326

    Ironhorse Larry Parks IOG-V 0.80 951 27,331 14,799 0 (231) 1,153

    Legacy Trent Yanko LEG-T 10.69 5,717 77,442 112,228 0 (7,563) 21,603Midway Scott Ratushny MEL-T 2.95 1,927 62,370 31,577 0 (3,797) 3,908

    Monterey Patrick Manuel MXL-T 8.53 1,665 45,765 29,408 0 (1,348) 1,500

    Novus Hugh Ross NVS-V 0.76 774 153,288 (22,883) )021,4(0 (686)

    NuLoch Glenn Dawson NLR.A-V 1.30 925 101,979 1,915 0 (722) 1,754

    OpenRange Scott Dawson ONR-T 1.29 4,053 60,934 59,050 0 (2,495) 7,228

    Orion Gary Guidry OIP-T 1.05 4,424 290,668 17,028 0 (99) 7,846Orleans Barry Olson OEX-T 2.60 3,956 65,176 43,641 0 (3,616) 5,763PaintedPony Patrick Ward PPY.A-V 6.70 2,532 55,873 8,592 0 350 7,647

    Palliser Kevin Gibson PXL-V 0.76 536 34,368 (2,745) 0 (1,096) 371

    Petro-Reef Theodore Donhuysen PER-V 0.35 794 39,210 13,446 0 (1,789) 930

    ProspEx John Rossall PSX-T 1.37 3,086 57,385 24,006 0 (1,900) 2,704Renegade Michael Erickson RPL-V 2.87 936 43,384 20,705 0 (2,001) 2,417Rock Allen Bey RE-T 4.36 3,720 30,591 33,230 0 (601) 6,283Seaview Michael Wuetherick CVU.A-V 1.14 3,221 76,006 11,230 0 (1,840) 4,374

    SecondWave Colin Witwer SCS-V 2.72 1,417 70,802 20,686 3,890 (1,578) 2,512

    Sonde Marvin Chronister SOQ-T 2.97 2,892 62,296 (35,682) 15,771 (17,663) 516

    Sure Jeffrey Boyce SHR-T 1.04 771 46,849 6,797 0 (951) 929

    Surge Dan O'Neil SGY-V 5.20 2,258 27,589 (22,006) )515,7(0 4,740Tamarack Brian Schmidt TVE-V 0.25 737 74,640 (4,347) )001,3(0 342Terra Cas Morel TT-T 1.32 6,531 98,920 59,765 0 (1,741) 7,105

    TriOil Russell Tripp TOL-V 3.75 1,439 20,762 8,050 0 (2,372) 1,606

    TwinButte Jim Saunders TBE-T 1.26 6,489 128,153 73,741 0 (1,739) 8,261

    Twoco Wayne Malinowski TWO-V 0.21 736 14,941 18,355 8,213 (1,623) 68

    Vero Douglas Bartole VRO-T 6.11 9,010 43,472 111,875 0 574 13,879Waldron Ernie Sapieha WDN-V 1.98 2,043 28,620 19,402 0 (1,791) 1,810

    WestFire Lowell Jackson WFE-T 4.66 2,373 36,759 1,855 0 (842) 4,546

    Whitecap Grant Fagerheim WCP-V 0.41 964 157,989 21,014 9,671 (712) 1,938

    WildStream Neil Roszell WSX-V 6.35 1,744 36,938 9,923 0 405 5,602

    WranglerWest Steven Johnson WX-V 3.55 853 6,441 6,264 0 (945) 888

    Yoho Brian McLachlan YO-V 2.68 2,270 26,545 17,676 0 (1,094) 3,102TOTAL )879,361(059,602778,035,1676,571 283,871AVERAGE 2,978 72,035 25,947 29,564 (2,779) 4,811

    MEDIAN 2,060 58,112 20,686 9,671 (1,739) 2,704

    For A/B share structures, B shares arenot shown above, but are included in thecalculations or some o our charts. When wecalculate market capitalization, we use the Ashares outstanding times the A share price,plus the B shares outstanding times the Bshare price.

    Eastern Canada-ocused juniors(including Queserre , who was includedin previous comparisons), coalbedmethane-ocused junior companies, andoil sands-ocused junior companies arenot included in this comparison.

    Coass peroleu is not included in thecomparison as results have yet to be releasedor the quarter and year ended June 30, 2010.Compass began trading on May 31, 2010 withproduction o 795 boe/d or its third quarterperiod ended March 31, 2010.

    Yohos year end is September 30. As such,Yohos third quarter ended June 30, 2010 isused to compare with the second quarter orother companies.

    Data provided by Canoils database andBMIR researchers.

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M18

    J

    Junior Data taBle

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    For more information, please contact the Calgary ofce at 403-269-6003 www.canoi ls .com

    CANOILS

    Clockwise from top:

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    n 12% Other

    Future Enhancements: Assets Database: Provides reserves/production and drilling data based on a by

    company basis as well as a by feld/zone/pool etc. Launch date beginning o October 2010!

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    gas emissions will be available by oil sands project. Variables rom this data will include

    CO2 per barrel produced or in-situ, mining and upgrading projects. Estimated coverage

    included in our database is Q3 2010.

    Cold Flow Product ion: This is heavy oil production rom oil sands leases, as classifed

    by the Albertan Energy Resources Conservation Board (ERCB). Estimated coverage o this

    production into our database is Q1 2011.

    Financia l and Operat ing Analys is

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    Personnel Modul e:

    In 2009, Named Executive Ofcers o TSX-listed

    companies received $485 million in compensation.

    O this, 23% or $109 million was paid in cash, 49% in

    options or shares and 16% in bonuses.

    The average compensation paid to a CEO o a Junior

    Producer1 was $750,000, compared to $1.9 million or

    an Intermediate Producer2.

    Directors received $91 million in compensation,

    comprised o $29 million in ees, $48 million in options

    or shares and $14 million or other reasons.

    1 Analysis o 51 TSX-listed E&P companies, with productionless than 10,000 boe/d.

    2 Analysis o 29 TSX-listed E&P companies with productionbetween 10,000 and 100,000 boe/d.

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Company

    5

    Company

    1

    Company

    2

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    4

    Fees Options Share Awards

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    This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.

    Focus of Operations

    HIGH-IMPACT OIL RESOURCE FOCUSED INVENTORY

    Listing: TSX-AEIShares outstanding: 134.2 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $0.80

    Market capitalization: $107 million

    Net debt: $20 million

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $127 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 1,695 bbls/d 82%

    Natural gas 2.2 mmcf/d 18%

    Total 2,060 boe/d 100%

    Cash fow netback:

    Peer Median

    14.92

    AEI $21.99

    -$50 $50

    Strategies: Managementhassoldnon-coreassetsandrefocusedArsenal

    Oilweightedexplorationandproductionwithbothlight&heavyoilassets

    75%oilweightingbyproduction,85%oilweightingbyreserves

    OilcashowenginefundsBakkenDevelopment

    OnlyCanadianjuniorwithkeyacreageincoreNorthDakotaBakkenresourceplay

    Multi-year,lowrisk,drillinginventoryincludingBakken,ThreeForks,PrincessandEvi

    Currentlytradingbelowitspeergroup

    from Arsenal August 2010 corporate presentation

    il

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    Recent News:August 11, 2010Arsenal Energy releases Q2 results

    May 31, 2010ArsenalEnergyreleasesupdateonNorthDakotaBakkenProgram

    May 27, 2010Arsenal Energy announces Normal Course Issuer Bid

    May 20, 2010ArsenalEnergyannouncessuccessfulThreeForkswellatLindahl,NorthDakota

    Contact:1900, 639-5th Avenue SWCalgary,AlbertaT2P0M9

    tel 403.262.4854

    [email protected]

    Analyst Coverage:WellingtonWestCapitalMarkets

    OcersTonyvanWinkoop-President&CEO

    J.PaulLawrence-VP,Finance&CFO

    RonForth-VP,Engineering

    JayLaForge-VP,Production

    GjoaTaylor-VP,Land

    GregKaidannek-ChiefGeophysicist

    Wade Hansen - Chief GeologistLeoNolte-VP,Drilling

    DirectorsNeil MacKay - ChairmanBillPowers

    TonyvanWinkoop

    WilliamHews

    CurtisStewart

    Harley Kempthorne

    EviSoutheast Alberta

    Central Alberta

    NorthDakota

    Q SnapSHot

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    Focus of Operations

    HIGH-IMPACT EXPLORATION, DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES

    Listing: TSX-DEEShares outstanding: 117.2 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $2.43

    Market capitalization: $285 million

    Net debt: $79 million

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $364 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 1,612 bbls/d 20%

    Natural gas 38.5 mmcf/d 80%

    Total 8,035 boe/d 100%

    Cash fow netback:

    Peer Median

    $14.92

    DEE $17.76

    -$50 $50

    Strategies:Delphi is well-positioned for organic growth with a large inventory of development

    opportunities complemented by a high-impact exploration program:

    Disciplinedeldcapitalprograminternallygeneratedandprotectedthroughactive

    commodity hedging program

    Operatorshipandownershipofinfrastructure,production,capitalandlands

    Complementaryconventionalmulti-zonedeepbasinassetbase

    Focusedongrowththroughthedrillbitcomplementedwithstrategicacquisitions

    within core areas

    from Delphi website

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    Recent News:July 28, 2010Delphi reports record production of 8,035 boe/dforsecondquarter2010

    June 3, 2010Delphi announces closing of $30.25 million

    equityoffering

    May 27, 2010Delphi announces increased credit facility

    Contact:300, 500 4 Avenue S.W.

    Calgary, Alberta T2P 2V6

    tel 403.265.6171

    [email protected]

    www.delphienergy.ca

    Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners

    Canaccord GenuityGMP Securities

    MacquarieCapitalMaison Placements Canada

    National Bank Financial

    Peters & Co.RBC Capital MarketsThomas Weisel Partners

    Wellington West Capital Markets

    OcersDavid Reid - President & CEOTony Angelidis - Sr VP, Exploration

    Brian Kohlhammer - VP, Finance & CFOHugo Batteke - VP, Operations

    MichaelKaluza-COO

    Michael Galvin - VP, Land

    Rod Hume - VP, Engineering

    DirectorsTony Angelidis

    Harry CampbellRobert Lehodey

    Stephen MulherinAndrew Osis

    David ReidDavid Sandmeyer

    Lamont Tolley

    East CentralAlberta Region

    North WestAlberta Region

    North EastBritish ColumbiaRegion

    Q SnapSHot

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 21

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    Focus of Operations

    RELAUNCHED AND READY

    Listing: TSX-EQU, NYSE-EQUShares outstanding: 21.9 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $4.91

    Market capitalization: $107.5 million

    Net debt: $55 million + $116 million debentures

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $278.5 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 5,118 bbls/d 53%

    Natural gas 26.7 mmcf/d 47%

    Total 9,570 boe/d 100%

    Cash Flow Netback:

    Peer Median

    $14.92

    EQU $13.04

    -$50 $50

    Strategies:Enterra Energy Trust became Equal Energy Ltd effective June 1, 2010. This name waschosen to represent the balanced approach to asset development, nancial responsibility

    and strategic corporate direction. Internally, Equal is continuing with the transition to agrowth oriented exploration and production model.

    The 2010 Equal Energy business plan priorities are to:

    Proveupgrowthorientedliquids-richresourceplaysthroughthedrillbitand minor acquisitions

    Improveoverallbalancesheet

    Continuetoimproveoperationalandcapitalefciencies Continuetobuildmarketcondenceandafollowing

    from Equal Energy 2009 Annual Report and Q1 2010

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    Recent News:August 13, 2010Equal announces increase to capital budget - second half

    drilling activity accelerated

    August 13, 2010

    Equal updates Q2 2010 nancial and operating results

    August 12, 2010

    Equal adds new director

    Contact:2700, 500 - 4th Avenue S.W.

    Calgary,AlbertaT2P2V6

    tel 403.263.0262

    toll free 877.263.0262

    [email protected]

    Analyst Coverage:Jennings Capital

    WellingtonWestCapitalMarkets

    OfcersDonKlapko-President&CEO

    JohnReader-SrVP,&COO

    JohnChimahusky-SrVP,&COO,U.S.Operations

    ShanePeet-SrVP,Engineering

    MarkRupert-VP,U.S.Operations

    RichardDixon-VP,Land,U.S.Operations

    PeterLetizia-VP,ProductionforCanadaTerryFullerton-VP,CanadianExploration

    DirectorsJohn BrussaPeterCarpenter-Chairman

    Michael DoyleVictorDusik

    Roger GiovanettoBrian Illing

    DonKlapko

    formerly Enterra Energy Trust

    VikingTrend

    PekiskoTrend

    Circus Trend

    Hunton Trend

    CardiumTrends

    Q SnapSHot

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    Focus of Operations

    CRUDE OIL FOCUS AT MITSUE, MARTEN MOUNTAIN, AB

    Listing: TSX-EEShares outstanding: 52.2 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $1.02

    Market capitalization: $53 million

    Net debt: $9 million

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $62 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 729 bbls/d 87%

    Natural gas 0.7 mmcf/d 13%

    Total 839 boe/d 100%

    Cash fow netback:

    Peer Median

    $14.92

    EE $27.35

    -$50 $50

    Strategies:The Corporation will enhance shareholder value through exploration and developmentand selective acquisition opportunities.

    Exall Energy is expected to increase its oil production as a result of the recent Marten

    Mountain discovery made during the 2010 winter drilling program, and a disciplinedcapital program focused on developing light sweet crude opportunities and existing good

    production practices and pool optimization strategies.

    The scal 2010 capital budget of $22.1 million is focused on Mitsue / Marten Mountain

    light oil projects. Eight wells are to be drilled in the area during the year, of which four

    were already drilled by mid-August.

    from Exall Energy Corporation website and August 2010 presentation

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    Recent News:August 13, 2010Exall announces new well owing 450 barrels per dayon three day test

    August 11, 2010Exall announces Q2 2010 results with year-over-yearproduction increase of 234 percent

    July 28, 2010Exall announces results of June 30, 2010 reserves update

    including 930.4 Mboe addition to total proved reserves

    Contact:400, 715 - 5th Avenue S.W.Calgary, Alberta T2P 2X6

    tel 403.237.7820

    www.exall.com

    Analyst Coverage:

    nil

    OcersStephen Roman - Executive ChairmanFrank Rebeyka - Vice Chairman & CEO

    Roger Dueck - President & COOWarren Coles - VP, Finance & CFO

    Glen Kerr - VP, Operations

    DirectorsStephen Roman

    Frank RebeykaRoger Dueck

    Wayne EganBernard Lang

    Allan MenziesRoderick Phipps

    Mitsue

    Aitken Creek

    Bow Island

    Jayar

    Harris County

    Q SnapSHot

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 23

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    Focus of Operations

    VIKING FOCUS, BUILDING THROUGH TRANSACTIONS

    Listing: TSXV-NVSShares outstanding: 165.6 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $0.76

    Market capitalization: $126 million

    Net debt: nil, $23 million of working capital

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $103 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 322 bbls/d 42%

    Natural gas 2.7 mmcf/d 58%

    Total 774 boe/d 100%

    Cash fow netback:

    Peer Median

    $14.92

    NVS -$9.74

    -$50 $50

    Strategies:Novus strategy is to target high-impact growth through acquisitions in highnetback properties, combined with organic growth through the drill bit. Under a newmanagement team, the companys name was changed to Novus Energy Inc. in mid 2009,and a new growth strategy was put in place targeting:

    Lightoilresourceplayswithsignicantoriginaloil-in-place

    Applicationofhorizontalmulti-stagefracturetechnologytoexponentiallyincreaseoil recovery

    Focusonwelldelineated,lowgeologicalriskreserves

    Landstopossesslargeaerialextenttosupportlarge-scale,repeatabledrillingprograms

    from Novus website

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    Recent News:September 9, 2010Novus announces normal course issuer bid

    August 27, 2010Novus announces second quarter 2010 results

    July 8, 2010Novus announces operational update and closing ofacquisition in its Dodsland Saskatchewan core area

    June 2, 2010Novus announces successful closing of previouslyannounced acquisitions

    Contact:1200,520-5thAvenueS.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P3R7

    tel 403.263.4310

    [email protected]

    Analyst Coverage:Canaccord GenuityClarus SecuritiesCormark SecuritiesHaywood SecuritiesGMPSecuritiesJacob SecuritiesJennings CapitalMackie Research CapitalRaymond JamesStifel Nicolaus

    OcersHughRoss-President&CEO

    KetanPanchmatia-VP,Finance&CFO

    GregGroten-VP,Exploration

    JulianDin-VP,BusinessDevelopment

    JackLane-VP,Operations

    DirectorsMichael HalvorsonHarry KnutsonAlKroontje

    Bruce MacdonaldLarry MahHugh Ross

    Dodsland (Viking) Roncott

    Wembley

    Wapiti

    Rocanville

    Garrington

    Q SnapSHot

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    Focus of Operations

    LARGE OIL PLAYS, JUDY CREEK FOCUS

    Listing: TSXV-SCSShares outstanding: 70.9 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $2.72

    Market capitalization: $193 million

    Net debt: $21 million + $4 million debentures

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $218 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 943 bbls/d 67%

    Natural gas 2.8 mmcf/d 33%

    Total 1,417 boe/d 100%

    Cash Flow Netback:

    Peer Median

    $14.92

    SCS $19.48-$50 $50

    Strategies: Fastgrowththroughthedrillbit

    Utilizeresourceplaypotentialofproperties

    Highworkinginterestsandoperatorshipincoreareas

    Exploitmulti-zonepotentialonsignicantlandbase

    Strengths: Experiencedmanagementteamwithspecialtiesinpropertyareas

    andhorizontaldrilling

    Largedrillinginventoryofbothhighimpactexplorationwellsandlowerrisk

    developmentwells Yearroundaccesswithfacilitiesandservicesavailable

    from Second Wave website

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    Recent News:August 27, 2010SecondWavereportsnancialandoperatingresultsfor

    the three months ended June 30, 2010

    July 20, 2010Second Wave announces closing of 27 million bought deal

    equitynancingandupdateonfracresultsinJudyCreekJune 28, 2010Second Wave announces $27 million bought deal equitynancing

    Contact:1700, 520 - 5th Avenue S.W.

    Calgary, Alberta T2P 3R7

    tel 403.451.0165

    [email protected]

    www.secondwavepetroleum.com

    Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners

    GMP SecuritiesWellingtonWestCapitalMarkets

    OfcersColinWitwer-President&CEO

    RandyDenecky-VP,Finance&CFODouglasHibbs-VP,Exploration

    Randy Bergmann - VP, LandDevery Neumann - VP, Operations

    KellyNovakowski-Controller

    DirectorsBrianBaker

    NeilBokenfohr

    DonaldFoulkes

    Robert Goods

    Jim ReidAlan Steele

    ColinWitwer

    BattleCreek

    ProvostJudyCreek

    Tableland

    Q SnapSHot

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 25

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    Focus of Operations

    STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS, HIGH NETBACK LIGHT OIL PLAYS

    Listing: TSXV-SGYShares outstanding: 31.1 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $5.20

    Market capitalization: $162 million

    Net debt: nil, $22 million of working capital

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $140 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 1,621 bbls/d 72%

    Natural gas 3.8 mmcf/d 28%

    Total 2,258 boe/d 100%

    Cash fow netback:

    Peer Median

    $14.92

    SGY $23.07

    -$50 $50

    Strategies: Target per share growth via acquisitions with a focused exploitation, development and

    exploration plan

    Build an oil and liquids rich natural gas resource base through the identication and

    capture of new and emerging resource plays

    Continue to position Surge in early stage oil resource plays

    Optimize base production and exploit signicant undeveloped land base

    Apply teams expertise, experience, and proven track record to build core areas with:

    Large scalable reserves Signicant undeveloped land

    Available infrastructure Multi-zone potential Operatorship All-season access

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    Recent News:August 26, 2010Surge announces second quarter 2010 results

    July 21, 2010Surge announces stock option grants

    July 20, 2010Surge announces increase in bank l ine and closing of

    previously announced acquisition

    July 12, 2010Surge closes previously announced PrivateCo-1 acquisitio

    and acquires additional unit interest at Waskada in

    southwest Manitoba

    Contact:2300, 635 - 8th Avenue S.W.Calgary, Alberta T2P 3M3

    tel 403.930.1010

    [email protected]

    Analyst Coverage:Cormark SecuritiesFirstEnergy Capital Corporation

    GMP SecuritiesMacquarie Equities Research

    National Bank FinancialWellington West Capital Markets

    OcersDan ONeil - President & CEOMax Lof - CFO

    Dan Brown - COOMalcolm Adams - VP, Corporate Development

    Margaret Elekes - VP, LandKevin Angus - VP, Exploration

    DirectorsPeter Bannister

    Paul Colborne - ChairmanColin Davies

    Robert LeachKeith Macdonald

    Dan ONeilJames Pasieka

    Murray Smith

    Southern Alberta

    Western Alberta

    Central Alberta

    Manitoba

    iQsNAPsHOT

    B R Y AN M I L L s I R A D E s sO I Q . BM I R . C OM26

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    This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.

    Focus of Operations

    TARGETED ASSETS, SUSTAINABLE CORPORATE GROWTH

    Listing: TSXV-TVEShares outstanding: 123.4 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $0.25

    Market capitalization: $31 million

    Net debt: nil, $4 million of working capital

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $27 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 15 bbls/d 2%

    Natural gas 4.3 mmcf/d 98%

    Total 737 boe/d 100%

    Cash fow netback:

    Peer Median

    $14.92

    TVE $5.09

    -$50 $50

    Strategies:Tamarack Valley is focused on the identication, evaluation and operation of resourceplays, using a rigorous, proven modelling process to carefully manage risk and identify

    growth opportunities. This strategic play model targets:

    Longlifereserves

    Horizonsthatarerepeatableandhavelargescope

    Focusonriskminimization

    from Tamarack Corporate Presentation August 2010

    il

    G

    Recent News:August 30, 2010Tamarack Valley les Q2 2010 report

    June 24, 2010Tamarack Valley announces stock option grant

    June 17, 2010Tango completes business combination with private

    companies, changes to management team and changes

    name to Tamarack ValleyMay 25, 2010Tango announces conditional approval by TSXV andamended amalgamation agreement

    Contact:1800, 407 - 2nd Street S.W.

    Calgary, Alberta T2P 2Y3

    tel 403.263.4440

    [email protected]

    www.tamarackvalley.ca

    Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners

    OcersBrian Schmidt- President & CEO

    RonHozjan-VP,Finance&CFO

    LewHayes-VP,Production&Operations

    Niels Gundesen - VP, EngineeringKen Cruikshank- VP, Land

    DirectorsFloyd PriceAnthony Lambert

    Dean Setoguchi

    DavidMackenzie

    John Gunn

    Brian SchmitdtRonHozjan

    Inga

    Wilder

    Ansell

    Hanlan

    Ferrier

    Harmattan

    Lochend

    Quaich

    Q SnapSHot

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 27

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    Focus of Operations

    STRONG ASSETS, GEOTECHNICAL EXPERTISE

    Listing: TSX-TTShares outstanding: 99 million at June 30, 2010

    August 31, 2010 share price: $1.32

    Market capitalization: $131 million

    Net debt: $60 million

    Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $191 million

    Q2 2010 average daily production:

    Crude oil and NGLs 1,537 bbls/d 24%

    Natural gas 30.0 mmcf/d 76%

    Total 6,531 boe/d 100%

    Cash Flow Netback:

    Peer Median

    $14.92

    TT $11.96

    -$50 $50

    Strategies:Over the past year, Terra Energy has focused on building a strong asset base

    a high-quality, long-life reserve, production and cash ow base through landacquisitions, seismic data interpretation, and exploration and development drilling.

    Terras dened business strategies are as follows:

    Consistent growth in per share value

    Manage and minimize risks

    Both strategic and opportunity driven

    Awareness of the time value of assets

    Keen sense of stewardship from Terra website and August 2010 Corporate Presentation

    il

    G

    Recent News:September 1, 2010Terra closes Square Creek asset acquisition

    August 30, 2010Terra announces normal course issuer bid

    August 5, 2010Terra Attributes 13 mmcf/day horizontal Montney test

    to best use of technologies and science

    Contact:970, 333 - 7th Avenue S.W.Calgary, Alberta T2P 2Z1

    tel 403.699.7777

    [email protected]

    Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners

    GMP Securities

    Dundee SecuritiesMackie Research Corporation

    Scotia Capital

    OfcersCas Morel - President & CEO

    Bud Love - VP, Finance & CFO

    Tim Beatty - EVP, B.C. Operations

    Tony Sabelli - EVP, AB & SASK Operations

    John Behr - VP, Exploration

    Graham Collins - VP, Production

    Gord Oliver - VP, ExploitationYvonne Frame-Zawalykut - Controller

    Jan Campbell - Corporate Secretary

    DirectorsTed Anderson

    Ralph Evans

    Colin MacDonaldCas Morel

    Robert PennerJames Wong

    Brian Yaworski

    Northeastern BritishColumbia and PeaceRiver Arch Region

    Q SnapSHot

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M28

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    intermediateoil & gas companies

    c o M p a r i S o n

    INCLUSION CRItERIA

    Primary business must be oil and gas exploration, development and production

    Q2 2010 production must fall between 10,000 and 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d)

    Majority of production must be from Western Canada

    Must be publicly traded on the TSX or TSX Venture Exchange

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 29

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    43,520

    44,104

    54,915

    65,855

    66,208

    75,517

    84,909

    ProgressBaytex

    CrescentPoint

    Bonavista

    ARC

    Pengrowth

    Enerplus

    24,087

    25,365

    28,512

    29,609

    31,950

    42,263

    42,273

    Trilogy

    Advantage

    NuVista

    NAL

    Perpetual

    PetroBakken

    Daylight

    12,357

    12,787

    15,394

    16,222

    18,029

    19,409

    22,202

    Birchcliff

    Paramount

    Fairborne

    Galleon

    Celtic

    Compton

    Peyto

    10,050

    ,

    0 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000

    Zargon

    74

    77

    80

    84

    84

    87

    100

    Paramount

    Celtic

    Trilogy

    Compton

    Peyto

    Progress

    Perpetual

    6063

    70

    71

    72

    72

    73

    BonavistaCrew

    Galleon

    Advantage

    Birchcliff

    Fairborne

    NuVista

    18

    21

    43

    49

    51

    53

    58

    PetroBakken

    Baytex

    Zargon

    Pengrowth

    NAL

    ARC

    Enerplus

    11

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

    CrescentPoint

    sizing up the peersThis iQ Report defnes intermediate oil and gas companies as those with production rom 10,000boe/d to 100,000 boe/d. In order to produce a relevant peer group, we restrict the intermediate categoryto companies and trusts with conventional oil and gas development and production as their primarybusiness, with the majority o their production in Western Canada, and with their shares or units tradedon the TSX or TSX Venture Exchange. Junior and emerging companies are eatured in sectionsbeginning on pages 5 and 48 respectively. Senior producers, with production in excess o 100,000

    boe/d, are not included in this report.

    There is only one dierence between the companies in our Q2 2010 comparison and our previous iQReport in Q1 2010. Ieraion Energy has een reoved ro he lis aer eing acquired ySor Venures Inernaional on June 29, 2010 o or a new inerediae coany oil and gasexlorer called Chinook Energy. Chinook sared o rade on he tSX on July 6, 2010.

    See our wheeling and dealing section on page 4 or a list o recent transactions.

    gas is where its atThe median natural gas weighting oWestern Canadas intermediate oil and gasplayers returned to 69.5% in the secondquarter o 2010 ater a dip to 66.1% in the

    frst quarter o the year.The growth strategy o most intermediatescontinues to be ocused on oil, suggestingthat the dependence on natural gas islikely to decline again as the intermediatesintegrate new assets into their portolios.

    Oil and natural gas are made comparableby converting natural gas rom thousands ocubic eet (mc) to barrels o oil equivalent(boe) at a ratio o 6:1. I n the current market,oil is priced at 3.2 times the comparableprice o natural gas. This suggests an oil priceo about $23 per bbl or parity with currentgas prices, or, conversely, a natural gas priceo about $12 per mc.

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M30

    Q2 2010 proDuction (Boe/D)Md = 28,512 b/d

    Q2 proDuction Mix natural gaS WeigHting (%)Md = 69.5%

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    7.5

    7.7

    9.2

    11.3

    12.6

    18.7

    24.1

    Peyto

    Paramount

    Perpetual

    Fairborne

    Advantage

    Birchcliff

    Progress

    0.2

    0.2

    1.6

    3.8

    4.2

    4.4

    5.0

    6.3

    NuVista

    Enerplus

    Baytex

    Galleon

    Celtic

    Trilogy

    Bonavista

    Daylight

    (2.0)

    (1.9)

    (1.7)

    (1.5)

    (0.1)

    (0.1)

    (0.0)

    CrescentPoint

    PetroBakken

    NAL

    ARC

    Pengrowth

    Zargon

    Compton

    (19.7)

    (25.0) (20.0) (15.0) (10.0) (5.0) 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0

    Crew

    3.7

    3.9

    7.4

    11.3

    11.3

    12.4

    18.3

    Galleon

    Celtic

    Paramount

    Zargon

    Fairborne

    Advantage

    Birchcliff

    (0.0)

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.8

    2.8

    3.7

    Compton

    Enerplus

    NuVista

    Bonavista

    Baytex

    Trilogy

    Peyto

    (10.0)

    (6.4)

    (4.4)

    (3.5)

    (2.7)

    (2.1)

    (2.0)

    0.4

    PetroBakken

    NAL

    CrescentPoint

    Progress

    Daylight

    Perpetual

    ARC

    engrow

    (20.9)

    (25.0) (20.0) (15.0) (10.0) (5.0) 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0

    Crew

    production growthOverall production continues to climb. In the second quarter o2010 the median intermediate oil and gas company increased itsoverall production by 4% ater increasing production by 3% inthe frst quarter o 2010. This compares with declines in 2009 o2% in the frst quarter, 1% in the second quarter and 4% in thethird quarter.

    There are a variety o reasons why a companys productionuctuates rom quarter to quarter. I no eort were made bya conventional oil and gas company to stabilize or increaseproduction, its production would naturally decline at ratesvarying rom 20 percent to 30 percent per year depending on itscommodity mix, depth o wells and age o assets.

    While the astest way to increase production is by making anacquisition, companies can also maintain or increase production

    by drilling wells and conducting feld optimization.

    orMula

    current period avg. production previous period avg. production

    previous period avg. production

    Note: Gas production converted to boe at 6 mc: 1 boe

    holding steadyWhile each companys overall production increased 4% onaverage in the second quarter o 2010, production on a per sharebasis did not change. This means issuers unded most o thegrowth in production by issuing new shares or units. The abilityto maintain production on a per share basis is a noteworthyachievement compared with the second quarter o 2009 whenthe average intermediate reported a decline in production pershare o 5.6% relative to the previous quarter. At that time, onlyfve o the 25 intermediates were able to increase productionon a per share basis rom the frst quarter to the second quarter.

    By comparison, 13 o the 23 intermediates managed thisachievement in the second quarter o 2010.

    orMula

    current production per share previous production per share

    previous production per share

    Note: Production per share = average production rate orthe period divided by basic weighted average sharesoutstanding during the period.

    For the trusts included in this comparison, substituteshares or units.

    Gas production converted to boe at 6 mc: 1 boe.

    cHange in proDuction Q1 2010 to Q2 2010 (%)Md = 4%

    cHange in proDuction per SHare Q1 2010 to Q2 2010 (%)Md = 0.1%

    Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 2 2 0 1 0 31

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    95,128

    100,467

    108,928

    110,776

    118,323

    120,266

    159,937

    Peyto

    Baytex

    Paramount

    Birchcliff

    Crew

    PetroBakken

    CrescentPoint

    61,279

    63,713

    63,949

    67,591

    67,682

    72,597

    86,770

    Enerplus

    Trilogy

    Celtic

    NAL

    Progress

    Bonavista

    ARC

    36,853

    43,039

    47,151

    53,955

    53,976

    57,811

    59,839

    Perpetual

    Fairborne

    NuVistaPengrowth

    Zargon

    Advantage

    ay g

    25,617

    ,

    0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000

    Galleon

    22.79

    23.68

    24.77

    25.43

    27.19

    36.6440.62

    Peyto

    NAL

    Pengrowth

    ARC

    Baytex

    CrescentPointPetroBakken

    18 87

    19.5919.76

    20.80

    20.96

    21.19

    21.70

    22.47

    Crew

    FairborneAdvantage

    Celtic

    Zargon

    Birchcliff

    Bonavista

    Enerplus

    11.37

    13.28

    14.94

    15.57

    18.39

    18.54

    18.65

    .

    Perpetual

    Progress

    NuVista

    Trilogy

    Galleon

    Daylight

    Paramount

    0.21

    0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00

    Compton

    living on the marginDespite all that has happened over the past year, the median cashow netback in Q2 2010 o $20.80/boe is almost unchangedrom the median cash ow netback o $20.24/boe reported in Q22009. These netbacks are well below the heights reached in 2008,when the median intermediate reported a cash ow netback orthe second quarter o $37.43/boe.

    Cash low netbacks are equivalent to sales margins. Theyindicate how much cash low a company generates rom eachbarrel o oil equivalent (boe) o production. Companieswith higher netbacks may have a bett er chance o thrivingduring periods o lower commodity prices when higher costproduction may be uneconomical.

    orMula

    cash ow rom operations

    total production in the period

    Notes: Total production in the period = Average daily productionx 91 days in the period

    value per barrel

    This graph shows each intermediate companys enterprise value perowing barrel o oil equivalent per day (boe/d) o Q2 production.Enterprise value is calculated by multiplying the share or unitprice on August 31, 2010 by the weighted average number oshares outstanding during Q2 beore adding debt and debenturesoutstanding net o working capital at the end o the quarter.

    A high number means the markets are placing more value on theproduction o a particular company, perhaps or reasons suchas long lie reserves, a higher proportion o oil to gas, high feldnetbacks, or perceived strong production growth prospects.

    The Q2 2010 median value was $63,949/boe, almost identicalto the median enterprise value o $63,388/boe reported in theprevious quarter and much higher than the median value o$51,279/boe reported in the second quarter o 2009.

    orMula

    market capitalization + net debt

    average production in barrels o oil equivalentNote: Market capitalization = August 31 share price x Q2

    weighted average basic shares outstanding

    Net debt = bank debt + debentures - working capital

    For A/B share structure companies, the separate market priceo B shares is also actored into the market capitalization

    B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O i Q . B M i r . c o M32

    enterpriSe Value VerSuS Q2 proDuction ($ per Boe/D)Md = $63,949/b

    Q2 caSH loW netBacK ($/Boe)Md = $20.80/b

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    12.48

    12.75

    12.91

    13.22

    13.41

    13.51

    22.10

    CrescentPoint

    ARC

    Zargon

    Pengrowth

    Paramount

    Crew

    Baytex

    10.64

    10.67

    10.7